LATAM FX: BRL Outperforming, USDMXN Slips Below 20.00

Mar-14 13:47

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* Regional currencies continue to trade in a resilient manner and the late European greenback sell...

Historical bullets

STIR: Next Fed Cut Not Fully Priced Until December Following CPI

Feb-12 13:47

Unequivocally hawkish market reaction to the firmer-than-expected CPI data.

  • The next 25bp Fed rate cut is now not fully discounted until the end of the December FOMC. That move was fully priced through September ahead of the release, with 37bp of cuts showing through December pre-data.
  • FFZ5 briefly prints 1.0 tick above its January low.
  • SFRZ5 briefly prints 2.5 ticks above its January low.

BUNDS: Falls 41 ticks post US CPI

Feb-12 13:42
  • Bund has fully closed the gap down to 132.34, and extended as low as 132.19 following the beat in the US CPI, it fell a total of 41 ticks post Data.
  • Looking at Technical, focus will be on the Yield and the 2.50%.
  • Today, reference 132.26, this level equates to 131.99.

US TSY FUTURES: BLOCK: March'25 2Y Post-Data Buy

Feb-12 13:41
  • +10,000 TUH5 102-18, buy through 102-17.62 post time offer at 0834:05, DV01 $370,000. The 2Y contract has since traded down to 102-16.75 last (-5.62).