All signal, no noise
All signal, no noise
All signal, no noise
Latest insights
The ECB is seen on hold on Thursday, but guidance will be key with 80% chance of a 25bp hike in June
Apr-27 17:16MNI interviews former Richmond Fed staffer on monetary policy outlook.
Apr-27 16:32Forecasts we have seen point towards another pickup in headline inflation, to around 3% from March’s 2.55%.
Apr-27 16:13MNI previews the April FOMC meeting.
Apr-27 16:01The Copom is widely expected to deliver a second consecutive 25bp Selic rate cut to 14.50%.
Apr-27 15:57MNI looks at the BOE's likely communications for its April 30 rates decision.
Apr-27 13:57
BOJ WATCH: Ueda Sees Higher Rates Ahead, No Timing Clues

BOJ WATCH: Ueda Sees Higher Rates Ahead, No Timing Clues

MNI INTERVIEW: CNB Should Look Through 1st-Rnd Effects-Seidler

MNI INTERVIEW: CNB Should Look Through 1st-Rnd Effects-Seidler
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Open CalendarLink to the pagemyMNIhttps://my.mnimarkets.com/dashboard?widget=/events/key-events-calendarHSC on myMNILink to the pageMore CalendarsLink to the page
BOJ WATCH: Ueda Sees Higher Rates Ahead, No Timing Clues

BOJ WATCH: Ueda Sees Higher Rates Ahead, No Timing Clues

MNI INTERVIEW: CNB Should Look Through 1st-Rnd Effects-Seidler

MNI INTERVIEW: CNB Should Look Through 1st-Rnd Effects-Seidler
Key Events
Calendar
Open CalendarLink to the pagemyMNIhttps://my.mnimarkets.com/dashboard?widget=/events/key-events-calendarHSC on myMNILink to the pageMore CalendarsLink to the pageLatest insights
The ECB is seen on hold on Thursday, but guidance will be key with 80% chance of a 25bp hike in June
Apr-27 17:16MNI interviews former Richmond Fed staffer on monetary policy outlook.
Apr-27 16:32Forecasts we have seen point towards another pickup in headline inflation, to around 3% from March’s 2.55%.
Apr-27 16:13MNI previews the April FOMC meeting.
Apr-27 16:01The Copom is widely expected to deliver a second consecutive 25bp Selic rate cut to 14.50%.
Apr-27 15:57MNI looks at the BOE's likely communications for its April 30 rates decision.
Apr-27 13:57Newsletter
MNI US MARKETS ANALYSIS - USD Stronger on Iran Stalemate
Apr-28 10:59MNI US OPEN - Trump Unhappy With Iran’s Plan to Reopen Hormuz
Apr-28 09:38MNI DAILY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - Bearish Triangle In Bunds
Apr-28 09:03MNI EUROPEAN MARKETS ANALYSIS: USD/JPY Dips Post BoJ
Apr-28 05:42MNI EUROPEAN OPEN: BoJ Holds, But More Board Members For Hikes
Apr-28 05:25MNI ASIA OPEN: Bank of Japan Kicks off Busy Week for Policy
Apr-27 19:48MNI ASIA MARKETS ANALYSIS: Middle East Tension Unabated
Apr-27 19:46MNI US MARKETS ANALYSIS - Opening USD Bid Swiftly Reversed
Apr-27 11:06MNI Technical Analysis
Monitoring A Multi-Year Range In WTI

FI Market Analysis
Read moreFI Market AnalysisThe EFSF is likely to hold a syndication in the upcoming week while five countries will hold auctions.
April 27, 2026 05:55BOJ expected to retain a 'hawkish hold' stance with tightening still part of the forward path
April 27, 2026 02:32Download Full Report Here: https://media.marketnews.com/Fed_Prev_Apr2026_41d0d27442.pdf EXECUTIVE SUMMARY * April's FOMC meeting communications will reiterate the Committee's broadly shared view that policy is well-positioned and the next move is not urgent, particularly because the Iran war-related energy shock and associated uncertainty complicate the outlook. * Data since the last FOMC meeting have largely supported a wait-and-see approach, on balance showing initial resilience to the energy price shock seen in March (especially in the labor market) although surveys warn higher spillover to non-energy prices could be in the pipeline. * Where Committee views have started to diverge most is whether and how quickly the FOMC could signal openness to removing its explicit easing bias. * So while a Fed funds rate hold at 3.50-3.75% at this meeting is universally expected, with no new set of economic projections, attention will be paid to whether the easing bias in the Statement guidance is amended in favor of a two-sided approach to future rate moves. * Either way, rate guidance may soon be eliminated altogether. This is likely to be Chair Powell's last meeting before his term ends in mid-May, after which Kevin Warsh is set to assume the chairmanship. * In his Senate confirmation hearing, Warsh said he doesn't believe in forward guidance, and signaled that he would seek major changes to not just Fed communications practices but several key areas of policy. * Warsh is broadly expected by markets and analysts to steer the FOMC's rate lean in a more dovish direction, but his ability and indeed willingness to do so are not entirely clear. * There's not much Powell can say at the press conference about the outlook that differs from what he said in mid-March, given the ongoing impact of the war distorting economic signals, though it's possible that if the Statement doesn't shift to a two-way rate guidance, he may echo the recent Minutes in a hawkish fashion in suggesting that the Committee is leaning increasingly to that conclusion. MNI's separate preview of sell-side analyst summaries to follow on Monday April 27
April 24, 2026 08:40We preview next week's MPC meeting where we see a 7-2 or 6-3 vote on hold and also review the recent data releases.
April 24, 2026 02:33FX Market Analysis
Read moreFX Market AnalysisDownload Full Report Here: https://media.marketnews.com/Fed_Prev_Apr2026_41d0d27442.pdf EXECUTIVE SUMMARY * April's FOMC meeting communications will reiterate the Committee's broadly shared view that policy is well-positioned and the next move is not urgent, particularly because the Iran war-related energy shock and associated uncertainty complicate the outlook. * Data since the last FOMC meeting have largely supported a wait-and-see approach, on balance showing initial resilience to the energy price shock seen in March (especially in the labor market) although surveys warn higher spillover to non-energy prices could be in the pipeline. * Where Committee views have started to diverge most is whether and how quickly the FOMC could signal openness to removing its explicit easing bias. * So while a Fed funds rate hold at 3.50-3.75% at this meeting is universally expected, with no new set of economic projections, attention will be paid to whether the easing bias in the Statement guidance is amended in favor of a two-sided approach to future rate moves. * Either way, rate guidance may soon be eliminated altogether. This is likely to be Chair Powell's last meeting before his term ends in mid-May, after which Kevin Warsh is set to assume the chairmanship. * In his Senate confirmation hearing, Warsh said he doesn't believe in forward guidance, and signaled that he would seek major changes to not just Fed communications practices but several key areas of policy. * Warsh is broadly expected by markets and analysts to steer the FOMC's rate lean in a more dovish direction, but his ability and indeed willingness to do so are not entirely clear. * There's not much Powell can say at the press conference about the outlook that differs from what he said in mid-March, given the ongoing impact of the war distorting economic signals, though it's possible that if the Statement doesn't shift to a two-way rate guidance, he may echo the recent Minutes in a hawkish fashion in suggesting that the Committee is leaning increasingly to that conclusion. MNI's separate preview of sell-side analyst summaries to follow on Monday April 27
April 24, 2026 08:40We preview next week's MPC meeting where we see a 7-2 or 6-3 vote on hold and also review the recent data releases.
April 24, 2026 02:33Download Full Report Here: https://media.marketnews.com/Inter_Meeting_Fed_Speak_Apr2026_1e36b34c03.pdf Ahead of next week's Fed decision, we've published our summary of FOMC participant communications since the March FOMC meeting, including MNI's Hawk-Dove Matrix and a recap of the latest Beige Book and January meeting minutes.
April 24, 2026 12:59A weekly wrap of some of the key macro themes/data releases for the Asia Pac region
April 24, 2026 05:45




