Global Macro

Actionable insight on monetary policy, balance sheet and inflation with focus on global issuance. Analysis on key political risk impacting the global markets

DateFcstPrev
March 06, 2026 10:00euGDP q/q (3rd, Regular)0.30.3
March 06, 2026 10:00euGDP y/y (3rd, Regular)1.31.4
March 06, 2026 10:00euGDP q/q - Revised Prior--
March 06, 2026 10:00euGDP y/y - Revised Prior--
March 06, 2026 13:30usRetail Sales m/m-0.30.0
March 06, 2026 13:30usRetail Sales m/m prev--
March 06, 2026 13:30usRetail Sales (ex-auto) m/m0.00.0
March 06, 2026 13:30usRetail Sales (ex-auto) m/m prev--
March 06, 2026 13:30usRetail Sales (ex-auto, gas) m/m0.20.0
March 06, 2026 13:30usRetail Sales (ex-auto, gas) m/m prev--
March 06, 2026 13:30usRetail Sales (control group) m/m0.3-0.1
March 06, 2026 13:30usRetail Trade (control group) m/m prev--
March 06, 2026 13:30usNonfarm Payrolls55.0130.0
March 06, 2026 13:30usNonfarm Payrolls (2mo Net Rev)--17.0
March 06, 2026 13:30usPrivate Payrolls63.0172.0
March 06, 2026 13:30usUnemployment Rate4.34.3
March 06, 2026 13:30usUnemployment Rate (3 dp)-4.283
March 06, 2026 13:30usU-6 Unemployment Rate SA-8.0
March 06, 2026 13:30usU-6 Unemployment Rate NSA-8.7
March 06, 2026 13:30usParticipation Rate62.562.5
March 06, 2026 13:30usParticipation Rate (3dp)-62.507
March 06, 2026 13:30usAverage Hourly Earnings, m/m0.30.4
March 06, 2026 13:30usAverage Hourly Earnings, m/m (2dp)-0.41
March 06, 2026 13:30usAverage Hourly Earnings y/y, current month3.73.7
March 06, 2026 13:30usAverage Hourly Earnings y/y, current month (2dp)-3.71
March 06, 2026 13:30usAverage Workweek, All Workers34.334.3
March 06, 2026 13:30usPRIOR Nonfarm Payrolls, Rev-48.0
March 06, 2026 13:30usPRIOR Average Hourly Earnings, m/m (2dp)-0.05
March 06, 2026 15:00usBusiness Inventories m/m0.10.1
March 06, 2026 15:00caIvey PMI (SA)-50.9
March 06, 2026 18:00usBaker Hughes US Gas Rig Count-134.0
March 06, 2026 18:00usBaker Hughes US Oil Rig Count-407.0
March 06, 2026 18:00usBaker Hughes US Rig Count-550.0
March 06, 2026 18:00usBaker Hughes Canada Gas Rig Count-69.0
March 06, 2026 18:00usBaker Hughes Canada Oil Rig Count-145.0
March 06, 2026 18:00usBaker Hughes Canada Rig Count-214.0

Macro Analysis

Political Risk

Daily Brief

Daily round-up of news from the US.

March 05, 2026 13:19

Weekly Brief

Crisis in Middle East dominates global politics & markets; Merz meets Trump in D.C.; 'Two Sessions' start in Beijing

March 02, 2026 14:00

Central Banks

Fiscal Policy

Download Full Report Here: https://media.marketnews.com/MNI_US_Deep_Dive_Issuance_2026_02_c9b4586b77.pdf February Refunding Review: Guidance And Cash Management Twists * Treasury's February 2026 Refunding round brought unchanged nominal coupon auction sizes for the Feb-Apr quarter as anticipated, though came with some modest surprises on the guidance and cash management fronts. * Below is the updated expected issuance table - as we explain below, risks are now tilted toward nominal coupon auction sizes next increasing only in 2027, as opposed to late 2026 which had been expected by many (including MNI). * March's sales begin next week: on March 10 with $58B in 3Y Note, continuing on March 11 with $39B in 10-Year Note Reopen (CUSIP: 91282CPZ8), and March 12 with $22B in 30-Year Bond Reopen (CUSIP: 912810UR7). * March will see a total of $362B in coupon issuance, including $19B 10Y TIPS and $28B 2Y FRN. * Monthly Auction Review: February's coupon auctions were mixed, with three decent sized tails, one solid trade-through and three auctions coming in more or less on the screws.

March 05, 2026 12:40

Spain and France are due to hold auctions today while books for the retail-only BTP Valore remain open.

March 05, 2026 06:46

Download Full Report Here: https://media.marketnews.com/MNI_US_Deep_Dive_Issuance_2026_02_c9b4586b77.pdf February Refunding Review: Guidance And Cash Management Twists * Treasury's February 2026 Refunding round brought unchanged nominal coupon auction sizes for the Feb-Apr quarter as anticipated, though came with some modest surprises on the guidance and cash management fronts. * Below is the updated expected issuance table - as we explain below, risks are now tilted toward nominal coupon auction sizes next increasing only in 2027, as opposed to late 2026 which had been expected by many (including MNI). * March's sales begin next week: on March 10 with $58B in 3Y Note, continuing on March 11 with $39B in 10-Year Note Reopen (CUSIP: 91282CPZ8), and March 12 with $22B in 30-Year Bond Reopen (CUSIP: 912810UR7). * March will see a total of $362B in coupon issuance, including $19B 10Y TIPS and $28B 2Y FRN. * Monthly Auction Review: February's coupon auctions were mixed, with three decent sized tails, one solid trade-through and three auctions coming in more or less on the screws.

March 04, 2026 20:43

Books for the retail-only BTP Valore remain open while Germany will return to the market today to hold a Green auction.

March 04, 2026 06:54