* The 482K recipients in Nov is -13K from a recent peak in Aug, Statistics Canada says Thursday. *...
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(Chart source: MNI/Bloomberg):
Option desks report modest SOFR & Treasury option volume overnight, better 10Y put interest followed by Jan 10Y call condors more recently. Underlying futures continue to extend lows, 10Y yield revisiting late May levels at 4.6068% this morning. Curves mildly steeper with short end rates outperforming (2s10s now at 25.174 vs. 23.991 low), while projected rate cuts into early 2025 look steady to slightly lower vs. late Monday (*) as follows: Jan'25 steady at -2.1bp, Mar'25 steady at -11.7bp, May'25 -16.7bp (-16.0bp), Jun'25 -23.1bp (-23.4bp).