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The trend condition in Treasury futures remains bearish, confirmed by the return lower on December 24th. For now, short-term gains are considered corrective. Last week’s sell-off reinforces the current bear cycle. The contract has traded through key short-term support and the bear trigger at 109-02+, the Nov 15 low. The breach confirms a resumption of the downtrend and opens 108+12+, a Fibonacci projection. On the upside, initial firm resistance is at 110-03+, the 20-day EMA.
SONIA FIX - Source: BBG/ICE