GBP: Posts Full Reversal of Tariff Gap, Nears Key Resistance
Feb-04 15:47
G10 FX gaining against the USD in recent trade, which is extending slippage into the London close, largely stemming from Trump's hardline approach on Iran. This drove the push lower in the front-end of the US yield curve and, in turn, has pressured the greenback.
With spot GBP/USD through the overnight high at 1.2455, markets are now testing horizontal resistance layered between 1.2471-76 to confirm a full reversal of the weakness posted since the reopening of trade on Sunday evening.
Strength today also narrows the gap with the 50-dma - a level that held as firm resistance in late January and now crosses at 1.2505. This level could prove key into the BoE decision on Thursday. We wrote earlier today on the growing expectations that the BoE will edge up their estimate of the neutral rate as part of Thursday's policy report - confirmation of which could work further against easing expectations this year - and strengthen GBP.
PIPELINE: Corporate Bond Issuance Update: $3B EIB WNG 10Y Priced
Feb-04 15:38
Date $MM Issuer (Priced *, Launch #)
02/04 $3B *EIB WNG 10Y +60
02/04 $1.5B #BNG Bank 3Y SOFR+37
02/04 $1B KFW 4% 2026 TAP SOFR+20
02/04 $Benchmark IDA 10Y SOFR+63a
02/04 $Benchmark Altria 3Y +95a, 10Y +145a
02/04 $Benchmark Valero Energy 5Y +115a
02/04 $Benchmark GATX 10Y +125a, 2054 Tap +140a
02/04 $Benchmark BNY Mellon 6NC5 +85, 6NC5 SOFR
02/04 $Benchmark National Fuel Gas 5Y +145a, 10Y +175a
02/04 $Benchmark National Rural Utilities 3Y +80a. 5Y +90a
02/04 $Benchmark NextEra Capital 30.5NC5.25, 30.5NC10.25