FED: US TSY 19Y-10M BOND AUCTION: HIGH YLD 4.900%; ALLOT 98.74%
Jan-22 18:02
US TSY 19Y-10M BOND AUCTION: HIGH YLD 4.900%; ALLOT 98.74%
US TSY 19Y-10M BOND AUCTION: DEALERS TAKE 10.40% OF COMPETITIVES
US TSY 19Y-10M BOND AUCTION: DIRECTS TAKE 20.08% OF COMPETITIVES
US TSY 19Y-10M BOND AUCTION: INDIRECTS TAKE 69.52% OF COMPETITIVES
US TSY 19Y-10M BOND AUCTION: BID/COV 2.75
US TSYS/SUPPLY: WI 20Y Re-Open
Jan-22 17:59
WI 20Y remains stable at 4.910% going into the $13B 20Y bond auction re-open (912810UF3) cut-off, compares to last month's tail: 4.686% high yield vs. 4.671% WI.
CANADA: Yields Climb With US But Greater Likelihood Of 25bp BoC Cut Next Week
Jan-22 17:58
GoC yields have continued to be dragged higher by Treasuries ahead of 20Y US supply after a mostly one-way move higher following President Trump threatening tariffs on Russia.
CBC reports Ontario Premier Ford could call an early Ontario election as early as next week to help respond to potential US tariffs.
Yields are 2.5-3.5bp higher across the curve, with increases led by the belly as is the case in Treasuries.
Can-US yield differentials are unchanged on the day at -134.5bp having lifted off recent lows of -138bps. That low was still seen a few hours after yesterday’s mostly in-line CPI report, although one that included a further solid acceleration in three-month core inflation.
Tomorrow’s retail sales data for November likely receives less focus than usual whilst tariff threats dominate.
Next week’s BoC decision is also secondary, with 22bp of cuts priced for a very strong likelihood of a 25bp cut to 3.00% for a little more firmly within the Bank’s 2.25-3.25% estimated range for neutral policy.