CANADA: PM Convenes Canada-US Economic Summit For 7 Feb Following Tariff Pause

Feb-05 14:35

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Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has announced a Canada-US Economic Summit to take place in Toronto on ...

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CROSS ASSET: Trump Denies Watering Down Of Tariffs, USD Bid, Stocks & Bons Sold

Jan-06 14:31

Some of the late London morning moves reverse as Donald Trump posts the following on Truth Social: "The story in the Washington Post, quoting so-called anonymous sources, which don't exist, incorrectly states that my tariff policy will be pared back. That is wrong. The Washington Post knows it's wrong. It's just another example of Fake News."

  • The BBDXY recovers just over 50% of the losses seen following the Washington Post Story.
  • Tsy yields now flat to 2bp higher on the day, curve steeper.
  • Euro Stoxx 50 futures pare nearly all of their Washington Post-inspired rally before stabilising.

EQUITIES: US Cash Opening calls

Jan-06 14:28

SPX: 5,991.8 (+0.8%); DJIA: 42,923 (+0.4%/+190pts); NDX: 21,556.7 (+1.1%).

FED: Cook Echoes Cautious Cutting Rhetoric

Jan-06 14:27
  • Gov. Cook (permanent voter) wrote in prepared remarks that the Fed can “proceed more cautiously with further cuts”.
  • Her comments echo other cautious remarks from Daly and Kugler over the weekend plus Barkin on Friday, following the 100bp of cuts seen in 2024.
  • I continue to view the risks to achieving the two sides of the Federal Reserve's dual mandate of price stability and maximum employment as being roughly in balance. Over time, I still think it will likely be appropriate to move the policy rate toward a more neutral stance. However, the 100 basis points of rate cuts since September have notably reduced the restrictiveness of monetary policy. All along, I envisioned moving more quickly in the early stages of our easing campaign and then easing more gradually as the policy rate came closer to neutral. In addition, since September, the labor market has been somewhat more resilient, while inflation has been stickier than I assumed at that time.”
  • She still thinks it’s appropriate to cut toward neutral over time, repeating the stance she last shared in November.
  • The impact from her remarks is clouded by President-elect Trump rowing back on the Washington Post story around a potentially more targeted tariff approach.