POWER: Prices, Industrial Demand Weigh on European Power Demand Growth

Feb-12 11:01

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The previously anticipated annual power demand increases of 7% until 2030 is unlikely to materialise...

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EGB SYNDICATION: Greece 10-year mandate

Jan-13 11:00

"The Hellenic Republic has mandated BofA Securities, Deutsche Bank, Goldman Sachs Bank Europe SE, Morgan Stanley, National Bank of Greece and Societe Generale as Joint Lead Managers for a new Reg S Cat 1/144A 10-year EUR Benchmark CAC bond maturing 15 June 2035 to be issued in dematerialised registered form. The syndicated transaction will be launched in the near future, subject to market conditions."
From market source

  • We had expected a 10-year GGB - but had thought next week to be more likely than this week (given the GGB auction on Wednesday).
  • GGBs have underperformed this morning - possibly ahead of this sooner-than-expected syndication.
  • We pencil in a E3-4bln size tomorrow.

BTP TECHS: (H5) Has Breached Key Support

Jan-13 10:55
  • RES 4: 122.85 High Dec 12     
  • RES 3: 121.43 High Dec 16  
  • RES 2: 120.70 High Dec 20   
  • RES 1: 118.30/119.96 High Jan 10 / 20-day EMA   
  • PRICE: 117.34 @ Close Jan 13 
  • SUP 1: 117.16 Low Jan 10          
  • SUP 2: 117.40 Low Nov 7 and a key support 
  • SUP 3: 116.59 76.4% retracement of the Jun - Dec ‘24 bull cycle
  • SUP 4: 116.07 Low Jul 8 ‘24 (cont)    

The current bear cycle in BTP futures remains in play and last week’s move down reinforces current conditions. The contract has also traded lower today, marking a bearish start to this week’s activity. Price has breached support at 117.40, the Nov 7 low and a key level, strengthening the current bearish condition. This opens 116.59, a Fibonacci retracement. Initial firm resistance is seen at 119.96, the 20-day EMA.

EQUITIES: Credit Agricole Vol Option trade

Jan-13 10:51

XCA (19th Sep) 13^, bought for 2.12 and 2.13 in 6k.