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Full article: US DAILY BRIEF
The latest opinion poll from Forsa shows the main opposition centre-right Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and its Bavarian sister party the Christian Social Union (CSU) recording 28% support. This is the lowest backing for the Union in a Forsa poll since September 2023. While generic polling shows the Union is still in pole position to emerge as the largest party in the 23 Feb federal election, the fallout from two high-profile Bundestag votes in late January could yet have an impact on vote shares.
Chart 1. Federal Election Opinion Polling, % and 6-Poll Moving Average
Source: Forsa, FGW, Allensbach, Infratest dimap, Verian, YouGov, Wahlkreisprognose, Civey, GMS, Democracy Institute, INSA, MNI