CNH: USD/CNY Fixing & Error Term Close To Unchanged

Feb-12 01:18

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The USD/CNY fix printed at 7.1710 versus a BBG market consensus of 7.3010. * Today's fixing is slig...

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US TSY OPTIONS: Option Flow: SFR Fly Sold

Jan-13 01:08
  • BSFRM6M8 (SFR June26/June27/June28) Fly sold at .03 x6000. Post time 11:26.53 AEST

EQUITIES: Asian Equities Opened Lower Following Strong US Jobs Data On Friday

Jan-13 00:59
  • Asian equities have opened lower this morning, extending declines after strong US jobs data affirmed the Fed's stance to keep interest rates steady amid lingering inflation. Australian and South Korean shares fell, while Japanese markets were closed. US equity futures edged lower following Friday’s 1.5% drop in the S&P 500.
  • Investors are now focused on upcoming US inflation data, including CPI on Wednesday and New York Fed inflation expectations on Monday. December's US nonfarm payrolls showed strong job gains and a lower unemployment rate, prompting some major banks, including Bank of America, to revise rate cut expectations, with some predicting no cuts this year.
  • In corporate news, Johnson & Johnson is exploring a bid for Intra-Cellular Therapies, while Bain Capital sweetened its offer for Australia’s Insignia Financial, while Chinese stocks are off to their worst annual start since 2016, with markets awaiting critical trade and money supply data.

FOREX: USD Index Steady, Yen Down Modestly Against Some Commodity FX

Jan-13 00:48

Early G10 FX trends are seeing some modest yen weakness against higher beta plays. The BBDXY USD index was last little changed, holding above 1319.1. 

  • Yen was an outperformer through Friday's session, so may be seeing some modest retracement in early Monday dealings. USD/JPY was last around 157.90, still well below post NFP highs from Friday at 158.87. Japan markets are out today, so liquidity will be lighter from that standpoint.
  • AUD and NZD are a touch higher. Both currencies are up around 0.10% versus the USD. AUD/USD was in the 0.6150/55 region, NZD at 0.5560/65. We have had data outcomes in both economies but these second tier prints haven't shifted FX sentiment.  
  • NZ building permits rose 5.3%m/m, but this just offset the prior month's -5.2% fall. Jobs filled rose 0.3%, showing tentative signs of improvement, albeit from quite a low base. In Australia, the Melbourne Institute inflation gauge rose 0.6%m/m from 0.2% and was 2.6% in y/y terms. This is back close to 2024 lows. ANZ job ads rose 0.3% for Dec, but the Nov fall was revised to -1.8%.
  • Equity sentiment in terms of US futures opened softer, but we are up from lows, last near flat. Regional equity markets are in the red, to varying degrees, following the weaker offshore lead on Friday. There are no US yield shifts given Japan is out today.
  • Commodity prices are up led by oil, following further sanctions on Russia from the US (announced on Friday). Brent and WTI are both up +2%. This is helping the likes of NOK see modest outperformance, up around 0.15%. This may also be aiding AUD and NZD at the margins.
  • Coming up we have China Dec trade figures on tap.