GBPUSD TECHS: Bulls Remain In The Driver’s Seat

Mar-13 06:23

* RES 4: 1.3175 High Oct 4 2024 * RES 3: 1.3119 76.4% retracement of the Sep 26 '24 - Jan 13 bear le...

Historical bullets

LOOK AHEAD: UK Timeline of Key Events (GMT Times)

Feb-11 06:23
DateUKPeriodEvent
11-Feb0845 BOE's Mann lecture on Economic Prospects
11-Feb1215 BOE Bailey's speech on changes in financial markets
12-Feb1500 BOE's Greene speech at Institute of Directors
13-Feb0700DecGDP/ Trade/ Construction/ Production/ Services
13-Feb0700Q4GDP First Estimate
18-Feb0700Dec/JanLabour Market Survey
18-Feb0930 BOE's Bailey fireside chat on open financial markets
19-Feb0001JanBrightmine pay deals for whole economy
19-Feb0700JanConsumer inflation report
19-Feb0700JanProducer Prices
20-Feb1100FebCBI Industrial Trends
21-Feb0001FebGfk Monthly Consumer Confidence
21-Feb0700JanPublic Sector Finances
21-Feb0700JanRetail Sales
21-Feb0930FebS&P Global Flash PMI
25-Feb1100FebCBI Distributive Trades

LOOK AHEAD: Eurozone Timeline of Key Events (GMT Times)

Feb-11 06:18
DateTimeCountryEvent
11-Feb1700EUECB's Schnabel in Nuremberg Talk Series panel
12-Feb900ITIndustrial Production
12-Feb1000EUECB's Elderson in roundtable at the MNI Connect event
13-Feb700DEHICP (f)
13-Feb840EUECB's Cipollone interview at Digital Finance conference
13-Feb1000EUIndustrial Production
14-Feb800ESHICP (f)
14-Feb1000EUGDP (p)
17-Feb1000EUTrade Balance
17-Feb EUECB's Lagarde and Cipolllone in Eurogroup meeting
18-Feb745FRHICP (f)
18-Feb1000DEZEW Current Conditions/Expectations Index
18-Feb EUECB's De Guindos in ECOFIN meeting
18-Feb1400EUECB's Cipollone in MNI Connect conference on Balance Sheet
19-Feb900EUEZ Current Account
19-Feb1000EULabour costs

FOREX: Steady Trends, Outside Of A Sharp USD/INR Pull Back

Feb-11 06:08

In North East Asia, FX markets have shown little aggregate movements. G10 FX markets have been very muted, with Japan markets out and head of Fed Chair Powell testimony later. Regional equity sentiment has been mixed, with HK and China markets giving back some recent gains. 

  • The USD/CNY fixing edged higher, but USD/CNY onshore spot has remained capped under 7.3100 so far today. USD/CNH has drifted a little lower, last near 7.3100 level, but maintains a positive bias with onshore spot.
  • USD/KRW spot has edged a little higher, last above 1453, but remains within recent ranges. We had the first 10-days of trade data for Feb earlier. Trends can obviously shift in the month, but the early weakness in daily average exports points to continued softness in full month export trends. Spot USD/TWD is little changed, continuing to track in the 32.80/85 region.
  • Spot USD/INR slumped in the first part of trade, falling over 1%, as markets moved away from the 88.00 level, which was threatened yesterday. We were last 86.85/90, up from earlier lows (86.64). RBI intervention may have also been more prominent in recent sessions.
  • USD/THB has climbed back above 34.00, the pair last in the 34.05/10 region. This is around 0.50% weaker in THB terms. Earlier Feb highs were at 34.15.
  • Spot USD/IDR has gravitated higher, last near 16370/75. Indonesia’s consumer confidence was slightly lower in January at 127.2 after 127.7 but it printed above the Q4 average of 124.9 and remains at a solid level and in line with continued robust private consumption growth of around 5%, where it was in Q4.