FOREX: Yen Weakness Continues, Steady Trends Elsewhere

The USD/CNY fixing printed at 7.1885, versus 7.3450 as per the Bloomberg market consensus. 

• This puts the error term for the fixing at -1565pips, fresh wides since April 2024.
• USD/CNH is lower, last near 7.3550, around 0.10% stronger in CNH terms.
• headlines have filtered out from a FX meeting held in Beijing. The PBoC stating that the yuan will stay at a reasonable, balanced level. (per BBG). The central bank also raised the cross border macro adjustment parameter from 1.50 to 1.75, effective today.
• This is designed to boost offshore borrowing by local companies. 

ACGBs (YM -15.0 & XM -8.0) have extended morning weakness to be sharply cheaper and at the Sydney session's worst levels.

• The Melbourne Institute Inflation Index rose 0.6% m/m in December versus +0.2% in November. The index rose 2.6% y/y versus +2.9% in November.
• ANZ-Indeed job advertisements rose 0.3% from a month earlier (-12.5% y/y) in December.
• There have been no cash dealings in US tsys in today’s Asia-Pac session with Japan out for a holiday. TYH5 is, however, slightly weaker at 107-11, -0-01+ from NY closing levels.
• Cash ACGBs are 8-14bps cheaper, led by the short end.
• Swap rates are 7-12bps higher, with the 3s10s curve flatter.
• The bills strip has bear-steepened, with pricing -3 to -13.
• RBA-dated OIS pricing is 2-14bps firmer across meetings today. A 25bp rate cut is still more than fully priced for April (105%), with the probability of a February cut at 69% (based on an effective cash rate of 4.34%).
• AOFM Bond issuance will resume this week, with A$800mn of the 3.50% 21 December 2034 bond to be sold on Wednesday and A$700mn of the 2.75% 21 November 2027 bond to be sold on Friday. 

• BSFRM6M8 (SFR June26/June27/June28) Fly sold at .03 x6000. Post time 11:26.53 AEST