GBPUSD TECHS: Approaching Resistance

Feb-13 06:24

* RES 4: 1.2667 High Dec 19 * RES 3: 1.2610 38.2% retracement of the Sep 26 '24 - Jan 13 bear leg * ...

Historical bullets

LOOK AHEAD: UK Timeline of Key Events (GMT Times)

Jan-14 06:23
DateUKPeriodEvent
15-Jan0700DecConsumer inflation report
15-Jan0700DecProducer Prices
15-Jan1630 BOE's Taylor Speech on Inflation Dynamics and Outlook
16-Jan0700NovGDP/ Trade/ Services/ Production/ Construction
17-Jan0700DecRetail Sales
21-Jan0700Nov/DecLabour Market Survey
22-Jan0001JanBrightmine pay deals for whole economy
22-Jan0700DecPublic Sector Finances
23-Jan1100JanCBI Industrial Trends
24-Jan0001JanGfk Monthly Consumer Confidence
24-Jan0930JanS&P Global Flash PMI
24-Jan1100JanCBI Distributive Trades
28-Jan0001JanBRC Monthly Shop Price Index
30-Jan0930DecBOE M4/ Lending to Individuals
03-Feb0930JanS&P Global/ CIPS UK Final Manufacturing PMI
05-Feb0930JanS&P Global/ CIPS UK Final Services PMI

LOOK AHEAD: Eurozone Timeline of Key Events (GMT Times)

Jan-14 06:18
DateTimeCountryEvent
14-Jan735EUECB's Lane speech on Europe, Asia and the Changing Globe
14-Jan900ITIndustrial Production
15-Jan315EUECB's Lane in fireside chat at GS global macro conference
15-Jan745FRHICP (f)
15-Jan800ESHICP (f)
15-Jan800EUECB's De Guindos at 15th Spain Investors Day
15-Jan1000EUIndustrial Production
16-Jan700DEHICP (f)
16-Jan900ITHICP (f)
16-Jan1000EUTrade Balance
16-Jan1230EUAccount of Dec 2024 ECB Monetary Policy Meeting
17-Jan900EUEZ Current Account
17-Jan1000EUHICP (f)
17-Jan1100EUECB's Cipollone lecture at Crypto Asset Lab conference
20-Jan700DEPPI
20-Jan1000EUConstruction Production
20-Jan EUECB's Lagarde and Cipollone in Eurogroup meeting

GBPUSD: Southbound

Jan-14 06:08
  • RES 4: 1.2613 50-day EMA
  • RES 3: 1.2607 High Dec 30     
  • RES 2: 1.2456/2576 20-day EMA / High Jan 7 
  • RES 1: 1.2367 High Jan 9 
  • PRICE: 1.2205@ 06:08 GMT Jan 14
  • SUP 1: 1.2100 Low Jan 10 
  • SUP 2: 1.2087 0.764 proj of the Sep 26 - Nov 22 - Dec 6 price swing
  • SUP 3: 1.2037 Low Oct 4 ‘23 and a key support 
  • SUP 4: 1.2000 Psychological round number      

The trend condition in GBPUSD remains bearish and the pair traded to a fresh trend low on Monday. Last week’s move down confirmed a resumption of the downtrend and marks an extension of the price sequence of lower lows and lower highs. Note too that moving average studies are in a bear-mode position highlighting a dominant bear trend. Sights are on 1.2087 next, a Fibonacci projection. Initial firm resistance is at 1.2367, the Jan 9 high.