ASIA STOCKS: Asian Equities Hit Hard On Tariff Headlines

Feb-03 04:48

Asian equities lower across the board today following Tariff headlines. Although it has been reported that China is planning to open discussions with Trump to avoid further escalation.

  • Japan's Nikkei 225 and Topix declined 2.8% and 2.5%, respectively, as US tariffs heightened global growth concerns. Tech stocks were particularly weak, with Tokyo Electron, Nintendo, and KDDI among those under pressure ahead of earnings. However, Hitachi (+1.1%) bucked the trend after reporting stronger-than-expected Q3 results and raising its full-year profit forecast. Komatsu dropped 7.2%, the most since August, after mixed Q3 earnings signaled uncertain global demand.
  • South Korea's Kospi Index fell 3%, as semiconductor stocks were hit hard. Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix both declined as AI-related stocks faced profit-taking. Investors are also concerned that US tariffs will hurt Korea’s export-driven economy, particularly in technology and automotive sectors.
  • Taiwan's Taiex Index is 3.8% lower, with TSMC leading declines as the AI sector saw a broad selloff. Delta Electronics’ parent company fell 9.8% in Taiwan, its largest drop since August 5, amid worries about its exposure to Mexico, where it has significant manufacturing operations. AI hardware names also suffered, with Wiwynn, Quanta, and Asia Vital hitting limit down on concerns that US tariffs could disrupt supply chains. PC makers like Asus (+5.4%) and Acer (+2.6%) outperformed, as they are expected to benefit from increased AI adoption.
  • In Hong Kong the Hang Seng Index fell is 0.7%, paring deeper losses after reports that China is planning to open discussions with Trump to avoid further tariff escalation. Offshore yuan stabilized, signaling potential intervention. Alibaba surged 5%, its highest since Nov. 12, after revealing an AI model that outperformed Meta’s Llama and DeepSeek V3. Macau casino stocks declined after January gaming revenue missed estimates, but analysts remain focused on Lunar New Year performance, which could still show strength. CK Hutchison (-2.6%) hit its lowest since July 11, with further pressure on shipping and infrastructure stocks tied to the Panama Canal, after the US Secretary of State urged Panama to remove Chinese companies near key trade routes. Mainland markets remain closed for the Lunar New Year and will reopen on Wednesday.
  • Australia's ASX 200 fell 1.9%, with mining stocks underperforming amid concerns that US tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China could dampen global economic growth and weaken commodity demand. Westgold Resources plunged 14% after cutting its gold production forecast. In New Zealand, the NZX 50 dropped 1.4%, led by Fisher & Paykel Healthcare, which saw its biggest one-day decline since 2020 after warning of potential cost increases due to tariffs.

Historical bullets

JGB TECHS: (H5) Returns Lower

Jan-03 23:45
  • RES 3: 149.55 - High Mar 22 (cont)
  • RES 2: 147.74 - High Jan 15 and bull trigger (cont)  
  • RES 1: 144.48/146.53 - High Nov 11 / High Aug 6 
  • PRICE: 142.12 @ 15:01 GMT Jan 03
  • SUP 1: 141.65 - Low Dec 30
  • SUP 2: 141.56 - 1.764 proj of the Aug 6 - Sep 3 - 9 price swing
  • SUP 3: 141.05 - 2.000 proj of the Aug 6 - Sep 3 - 9 price swing   

Markets slipped on the hawkish Fed and are yet to fully recover, touching 141.65 on the way lower. Medium-term trend signals on the continuation chart continue to point south. A resumption of the trend would pave the way for a move towards 141.56, a Fibonacci projection point on the continuation chart. A stronger recovery would open 144.48, the Nov 11 high. Further out, key resistance is at 146.53, the Aug 6 high (cont). 

USDCAD TECHS: Bull Flag Highlights A Clear Uptrend

Jan-03 21:00
  • RES 4: 1.4669 2.0% 10-dma envelope
  • RES 3: 1.4539 3.382 proj of the Oct 17 - Nov 1 - 6 price swing
  • RES 2: 1.4508 3.236 proj of the Oct 17 - Nov 1 - 6 price swing
  • RES 1: 1.4467 High Dec 19 
  • PRICE: 1.4392 @ 15:50 GMT Jan 3 
  • SUP 1: 1.4336 Low Dec 20  
  • SUP 2: 1.4307/4232 20-day EMA / Low Dec 17 
  • SUP 3: 1.4136 50-day EMA
  • SUP 4: 1.4011 Low Dec 5

USDCAD is unchanged and bulls remain in the driver’s seat. The latest pause appears to be a flag formation - a bullish continuation signal. Note too that moving average studies are in a bull-mode position, highlighting a dominant uptrend. Sights are on 1.4508 next, a Fibonacci projection level. Initial firm support to watch lies at 1.4307, the 20-day EMA. A pullback would be considered corrective.

AUDUSD TECHS: Southbound

Jan-03 20:30
  • RES 4: 0.6471 High Dec 9
  • RES 3: 0.6408 50-day EMA               
  • RES 2: 0.6341 High Dec 18   
  • RES 1: 0.6247/6282 High Dec 30 / 20-day EMA
  • PRICE: 0.6204 @ 15:21 GMT Jan 3 
  • SUP 1: 0.6179 Low Dec 31 
  • SUP 3: 0.6158 1.236 proj of the Sep 30 - Nov 6 - 7 price swing
  • SUP 3: 0.6100 Round number support 
  • SUP 4: 0.6045 1.500 proj of the Sep 30 - Nov 6 - 7 price swing

A bearish trend condition in AUDUSD remains intact and the pair continues to trade closer to latest lows. Recent weakness maintains the price sequence of lower lows and lower highs. Note that moving average studies are in a bear-mode position too, highlighting a dominant downtrend. Scope is seen for an extension towards 0.6158 next, a Fibonacci projection. Initial firm resistance to monitor is 0.6282, the 20-day EMA.