USD: BBDXY Bounces On U.S. Data

Jan-18 13:47

The BBDXY more than reverses early Thursday losses and moves to a fresh session high as the initial post-U.S. data reaction looks to the lower than-expected rounds of weekly jobless claims prints (as well as better-than-expected housing permits and building starts) and the subsequent uptick in Tsy yields.

  • A softer-than-expected Philly Fed survey provides a modest limiting factor for the initial USD demand before a second-round bid kicks in alongside fresh selling in Tsys.
  • USD bulls eye yesterday’s ’24 BBDXY peak.

Historical bullets

CANADA DATA: All Main Core Inflation Metrics See Acceleration On 6-Month Trend Basis

Dec-19 13:47
  • The drift higher in the 6-month run rate of the BoC’s preferred trim and median core measures was more pronounced in traditional core metrics.
  • Ex food & energy prices rising a second consecutive 0.40% M/M in Nov (Oct revised up from 0.34 to 0.40%) meant the 3-month lifted to 4.1% from 3.6% (initially 3.3%) and the 6-month rate lifted to 3.7% from 3.2% (initially 3.0%).
  • CPIX meanwhile accelerated to 0.33% M/M after an unrevised 0.26%. This saw an unchanged 2.1% on a 3-month basis but the 6-month bounced from 2.3% back to 2.7% annualized.

BONDS: North American Data Caps Rally

Dec-19 13:46

Feedthrough from the firmer-than-expected U.S. housing starts and Canadian CPI data helps limit the extension of the general rally in wider core global FI markets, although post-data moves outside of the Canadian curve are relatively contained.

STIR: Latest SFR Options

Dec-19 13:41
  • SFRM4 94.00p, bought for 1.5 in 4k.
  • SFRM4 vs 0QM4 97.00/98.00cs spread, bought the mid for half and 0.75 in 2k.
  • SFRU4 97.00/98.00cs sold at 8 in 5k.