OUTLOOK: Price Signal Summary - EURUSD Recovery Extends
Jan-22 11:28
In FX, EURUSD is trading higher today. The latest recovery appears corrective, however, the pair has recently breached the 20-day EMA and pierced trendline resistance at 1.0383, drawn from the Sep 30 ‘24 high. The move higher has exposed the 50-day EMA at 1.0460. Clearance of this average would strengthen a bullish condition and open 1.0513, the Dec 18 high. Initial support lies at 1.0260, the Jan 15 low.
A short-term bullish corrective cycle in GBPUSD remains in play, for now. Initial firm resistance to watch is 1.2369, the 20-day EMA. It has been pierced, a clear breach of the average would highlight a stronger corrective phase and signal scope for an extension, possibly towards the 50-day EMA, at 1.2537. The bear trigger has been defined at 1.2100, the Jan 10 low. Clearance of this support would resume the downtrend.
The trend condition in USDJPY is unchanged and remains bullish. The latest pullback is considered corrective. The pair has traded through the 20-day EMA and an extension would signal scope for a deeper retracement. Support to watch is 155.00, the 50-day EMA, and 154.48, a trendline drawn from the Sep 16 ‘24 high. A clear breach of both levels would highlight a stronger reversal. Key resistance and the bull trigger is 158.87, the Jan 10 high.
LOOK AHEAD: Wednesday Data Calendar: Mtg Apps, Leading Index, 30Y Bond Re-Open
Jan-22 11:22
US Data/Speaker Calendar (prior, estimate)
22-Jan 0700 MBA Mortgage Applications (33.3%, --)
22-Jan 1000 Leading Index (0.3%, -0.1%)
22-Jan 1130 US Tsy $64B 17W bill & $65B 33D CMB auctions
22-Jan 1300 US Tsy $13B 20Y Bond re-open (912810UF3)