US TSY OPTIONS: BLOCK: Mar'25 10Y Volatility Sale

Feb-06 15:09

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* -8,000 TYH5 109.5 straddles, 113 ref 109-24 at 0957:36ET...

Historical bullets

CROSS ASSET: A Jump higher in the Dollar post US Data

Jan-07 15:08
  • A decent broader bid in the Dollar following a strong JOLTS and ISM, USDJPY has jumped some 45 pips to break back above 158.00.
  • EURUSD has fallen 35 pips, and is testing a new intraday low at 1.0364.
  • Bund and EGBs have all fallen through their respective lows.

EQUITY TECHS: E-MINI S&P: (H5) Bear Threat Still Present For Now

Jan-07 15:04
  • RES 4: 6194.19 1.236 proj of the Aug 5 - Sep 3 - Sep 9 price swing    
  • RES 3: 6178.75 High Dec 6 and key resistance   
  • RES 2: 6163.75 High Dec 16  
  • RES 1: 6068.25/6107.50 High Jan 6 / High Dec 26         
  • PRICE: 6039.50 @ 14:52 GMT Jan 7 
  • SUP 1: 5911.25/5866.00 Low Jan 3 / Dec 20       
  • SUP 2: 5811.65 38.2% retracement of the Aug 5 - Dec 6 bull leg  
  • SUP 3: 5784.00 Low Nov 4 
  • SUP 4: 5698.25 50.0% retracement of the Aug 5 - Dec 6 bull leg

A bear threat in the S&P E-Minis contract remains present despite the most recent gains. The reversal lower from the Dec 26 high, highlights the end of the Dec 20 - 26 correction. Attention is on 5866.00, the Dec 20 low and a key S/T support. Clearance of this level would strengthen a bearish theme. Initial firm resistance is 6107.50, the Dec 26 high. A breach of this hurdle would highlight a bull reversal and open key resistance at 6178.75, the Dec 6 high.

US TSYS: Post-JOLTS, ISM Services

Jan-07 15:03
  • Treasury futures gap lower after higher than expected JOLTS job openings as well as ISM services index and prices paid.
  • The Mar'25 10Y contract trades down to 108-06 (-11), just below Dec 26 low with initial technical support at 108-00 (1.500 proj of the Oct 1 - 14 - 16 price swing).
  • Curves mildly steeper, 2s10s +.949 at 36.083, 5s30s +0.662 at 42.455.