FINANCIALS: BPCE - New Issue - £ B'mark 6NC5 Sr Non-Pref - Books

Feb-13 10:20

You are missing out on very valuable content.

* Books are >1.25bn * IPT: UKT+140 (UKT 0.875% 2029) - Z+153 * FV: UKT+119 - Z+132. * Exp. Ratings: ...

Historical bullets

EGB OPTIONS: Bund put spread buyer

Jan-14 10:17

RXG5 125.5p, bought for 1 in 2.2k.

US INFLATION: MNI US CPI Preview: Still Too High For Comfort

Jan-14 10:15

Our preview of Wednesday's December CPI release has been published (PDF): 

  • Consensus sees core CPI inflation decelerating slightly to between 0.2 to 0.3% M/M in December, with MNI’s analyst review pointing to an average estimate of 0.24% so a bias toward a 0.2% rounded figure.
  • Likely to be the single most closely watched individual aspect of Wednesday’s CPI report, rental inflation is expected to accelerate to an average figure that firmly rounds to 0.3% M/M in December.
  • Supercore inflation is seen pulling back, though, to the upper 0.20s%, from 0.34% in November.
  • If housing is our top pick to watch this month then core goods inflation – which is seen pulling back in December - is closely second, amid tariffs speculation.
  • Initial estimates point to core PCE inflation at ~0.20% M/M, softer in outright terms but on a relative basis an acceleration from the softer 0.115% in Nov. That outlook will hinge partly on PPI data out Tuesday.
  • It is clear that the Fed will hold in January, with the first plausibly “live” meeting not until March. But with pricing having shifted so quickly away from 2025 cuts, it’s a good juncture to assess whether markets have gotten too hawkish.
  • Even in-line inflation readings could bolster the FOMC leadership’s confidence that they are on track to get PCE to 2%, and leave the door open to two rate cuts later this year, though this report is not widely expected to provide the requisite evidence.
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EQUITIES: EU Bank rolling Option call

Jan-14 10:11
  • SX7E (17th Jan) vs (21st Feb) 149c, bought the feb for 2.7 in 20k.

Suggest rolling call, there's 22.1k OI in the Jan.