SONIA: Call fly seller

Jan-29 11:11

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SFIM5 96.00/96.50/97.00c fly sold at 4.5 down to 4.25 in 2.5k....

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Dec-30 11:01

Dec-30 10:31

Spanish inflation data came in ahead of expectations, with the headline driven by fuel prices as well as leisure. The release added some pretty to Bund prices, which shed ~20 ticks on release, but swiftly recovered the losses. Nonetheless, Bund futures remain well within range of cycle lows and the bear trigger at 132.71 - printed at the resumption of trade following the weekend.
Currency markets trade with little conviction. The USD is marginally weaker as AUD, NZD and CAD recover off recent pullback lows, giving trade a consolidatory theme after fierce price action in the weeks leading up to Christmas.
Stock futures are lower, pointing to another lower open on Wall Street - building on the weakness seen into the Friday close.
Significant newsflow has been few and far between, with US domestic politics focusing on the internal Republican debate over H-1B visas and the passing of President Carter. We expect US bond and equity markets are to be closed across the Day of Mourning, set for January 9th.
Focus for the duration of Monday trade will be on the MNI Chicago PMI at 1445GMT, expected to tick up to 43.0 from 40.2 previously. We anticipate volumes and broader liquidity to remain very light over the coming two sessions, particularly with tomorrow's European market closures and early closes elsewhere. EUR futures are posting cumulative volumes ~10% below an already subdued average for this time of day.

Dec-30 10:06

SFIH5 95.75/95.90 Call Spread Lifted

Market-Implied Rate Cut Profile Still Seems Flat Despite Near-Term Risks

SONIA FIX - 29/01/25

MNI: RBA To Update Outlook, Cut Not Guaranteed - Ex Economists

Jan-31 00:41

MNI INTERVIEW: Banxico Set For Larger Cut That Poses Risks

Jan-30 19:05

MNI ECB Review, Jan'25: Stepping Stone To March Forecasts

Jan-30 18:42