UK: Chancellor 'Confident' Trade w/US Can Growth Under Trump

Feb-26 16:09

Reuters reporting comments from Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves, speaking in Cape Town, South Africa at the G20 Finance Ministers' and Central Bank Governors' meeting. On trade with the US, Reeves says "The last time President Trump was in the White House, trade and investment flows between our two countries increased, and I've got every confidence that that can happen again," Reuters: "Trump has said value-added taxes levied by European countries represent an unfair barrier to U.S. exports. Asked if Britain was likely to change its tax regime, Reeves said: "decisions on tax are for the UK government to make."

  • Asked by Reuters whether she was concerned about an adverse reaction in financial markets to the upcoming spring statement fiscal event on 26 March, Reeves said she would not give a running commentary, claiming that "We took the action that was necessary in October to secure our public finances," she said. "Public services now need to live within the means that we've set."
  • A lower-than-forecast fiscal surplus in January has raised speculation that spending cuts, tax hikes, or both will be required in March to remain within the gov'ts self-imposed 'fiscal rules'. 

Historical bullets

OPTIONS: Expiries for Jan28 NY cut 1000ET (Source DTCC)

Jan-27 15:38
  • EUR/USD: $1.0400(E1.0bln), $1.0460($697mln), $1.0500(E1.4bln), $1.0520-30(E929mln), $1.0550(E792mln)
  • AUD/USD: $0.6300-10(A$2.0bln)

US TSYS: Post-New Home Sales React

Jan-27 15:24
  • Treasury futures holding near recent session lows, little reaction to better than expected new home sales for December. Still bid, futures have scaled back overnight risk-off support on weaker stocks tied to China's DeepSeek AI startup.
  • Treasury Mar'25 10Y futures currently +16 at 108-31 vs. 109-12 high - just below initial technical resistance of 109-12.5 (50-day EMA).
  • Cross asset comparison, stocks are weaker but well off lows (SPX Eminis -103.0 at 6029.50), Gold weaker (-27.33 at 2743.23), US$ index off lows (BBDXY +.21 at 1295.37), volatility index gaining (VIX +3.61 at 18.46).
  • Focus remains on Wednesday's FOMC policy annc, as well as heavy corporate earning's docket this week. 

JPY: FX Exchange Option

Jan-27 15:22

FX Exchange traded option, looking for further Yen Strength.

  • JPYUSD (7th Mar) 67.5c, bought for 0.23 in 1.3k.

The underlying is at 65.175, spot is slightly lower at 0.006481.