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AUDUSD TECHS: MA Studies Highlight A Clear Downtrend
- RES 4: 0.6429 High Dec 12
- RES 3: 0.6384 High Dec 13
- RES 2: 0.6358 50-day EMA
- RES 1: 0.6240/0.6302 20-day EMA / High Jan 6
- PRICE: 0.6189 @ 20:59 GMT Jan 14
- SUP 1: 0.6131 Low Jan 13
- SUP 3: 0.6100 Round number support
- SUP 3: 0.6045 1.500 proj of the Sep 30 - Nov 6 - 7 price swing
- SUP 4: 0.5994 1.618proj of the Sep 30 - Nov 6 - 7 price swing
A bearish trend condition in AUDUSD remains intact and last Friday’s sell-off plus Monday’s trend low, reinforces this theme. The pair has breached support at 0.6179, the Dec 31 low, maintaining the price sequence of lower lows and lower highs. Note that MA studies are in a bear-mode position too. Scope is seen for an extension towards the 0.6100 handle next. Initial firm resistance to monitor is 0.6240, 20-day EMA. The 50-day EMA is at 0.6358.
JGB TECHS: (H5) Bears Remains In The Driver’s Seat
- RES 3: 147.74 - High Jan 15 and bull trigger (cont)
- RES 2: 146.53 - High Aug 6
- RES 1: 142.73/144.48 - High Dec 9 / High Nov 11
- PRICE: 140.66 @ 20:38 GMT Jan 14
- SUP 1: 140-00 - Round number support
- SUP 2: 139.38 - 2.764 proj of the Aug 6 - Sep 3 - 9 price swing
- SUP 3: 138.87- 3.000 proj of the Aug 6 - Sep 3 - 9 price swing
A clear downtrend in JGB futures remains intact and the latest fresh cycle lows reinforce this condition. Note too that moving average studies on the continuation chart are in a bear-mode setup, highlighting a clear downtrend. The move down exposes the 140.00 psychological handle next. For bulls, a reversal would open 142.73 and 144.48, the Dec 9 and Nov 11 high respectively.
EURJPY TECHS: Monitoring Support
- RES 4: 165.43 High Nov 8
- RES 3: 164.90 THigh Dec 30 and a key short-term resistance
- RES 2: 164.55 High Jan 7
- RES 1: 163.19 High Jan 10
- PRICE: 162.77 @ 20:54 GMT Jan 14
- SUP 1: 160.04 Low Jan 13
- SUP 2: 160.54 50.0% retracement of the Dec 3 - 30 bull cycle
- SUP 3: 159.51 61.8% retracement of the Dec 3 - 30 bull cycle
- SUP 4: 158.67 Low Dec 11
The recent move down in EURJPY appears corrective. The recovery from Monday’s low highlights a potential short-term reversal and the end of the corrective cycle. A continuation higher would open 164.90, the Dec 30 high. Clearance of 164.90 would confirm a resumption of the uptrend. On the downside, key short-term support has been defined at 160.04, the Jan 13 low. A breach of this level would be bearish.
