ASIA: Coming Up In The Asian Session On Friday
| 2300GMT | 0700HKT | 1000AEDT | South Korea Jan Unemployment rate |
| 0000GMT | 0800HKT | 1100AEDT | Singapore 4Q GDP |
| 0400GMT | 1200HKT | 1500AEDT | Malaysia 4Q GDP |
| 0630GMT | 1430HKT | 1730AEDT | India Jan Wholesale Prices YoY |
| 0730GMT | 1530HKT | 1830AEDT | Thailand Feb Gross International Reserves |
| 1130GMT | 1930HKT | 2230AEDT | India Feb FX Reserves |
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USDCAD TECHS: Bull Flag
- RES 4: 1.4677 2.0% 10-dma envelope
- RES 3: 1.4539 3.382 proj of the Oct 17 - Nov 1 - 6 price swing
- RES 2: 1.4508 3.236 proj of the Oct 17 - Nov 1 - 6 price swing
- RES 1: 1.4467 High Dec 19
- PRICE: 1.4358 @ 21:05 GMT Jan 14
- SUP 1: 1.4348/4280 20-day EMA / Low Jan 6
- SUP 2: 1.4232 Low Dec 17
- SUP 3: 1.4197 50-day EMA
- SUP 4: 1.4011 Low Dec 5
The trend set-up in USDCAD remains bullish and short-term weakness is considered corrective. The latest pause in the uptrend appears to be a flag formation - a bullish continuation signal. Note too that MA studies are in a bull-mode position, highlighting a dominant uptrend. Sights are on 1.4508 next, a Fibonacci projection level. 1.4348, the 20-day EMA, has recently been pierced. A clear break of the average would open 1.4197, the 50-day EMA.
AUDUSD TECHS: MA Studies Highlight A Clear Downtrend
- RES 4: 0.6429 High Dec 12
- RES 3: 0.6384 High Dec 13
- RES 2: 0.6358 50-day EMA
- RES 1: 0.6240/0.6302 20-day EMA / High Jan 6
- PRICE: 0.6189 @ 20:59 GMT Jan 14
- SUP 1: 0.6131 Low Jan 13
- SUP 3: 0.6100 Round number support
- SUP 3: 0.6045 1.500 proj of the Sep 30 - Nov 6 - 7 price swing
- SUP 4: 0.5994 1.618proj of the Sep 30 - Nov 6 - 7 price swing
A bearish trend condition in AUDUSD remains intact and last Friday’s sell-off plus Monday’s trend low, reinforces this theme. The pair has breached support at 0.6179, the Dec 31 low, maintaining the price sequence of lower lows and lower highs. Note that MA studies are in a bear-mode position too. Scope is seen for an extension towards the 0.6100 handle next. Initial firm resistance to monitor is 0.6240, 20-day EMA. The 50-day EMA is at 0.6358.
JGB TECHS: (H5) Bears Remains In The Driver’s Seat
- RES 3: 147.74 - High Jan 15 and bull trigger (cont)
- RES 2: 146.53 - High Aug 6
- RES 1: 142.73/144.48 - High Dec 9 / High Nov 11
- PRICE: 140.66 @ 20:38 GMT Jan 14
- SUP 1: 140-00 - Round number support
- SUP 2: 139.38 - 2.764 proj of the Aug 6 - Sep 3 - 9 price swing
- SUP 3: 138.87- 3.000 proj of the Aug 6 - Sep 3 - 9 price swing
A clear downtrend in JGB futures remains intact and the latest fresh cycle lows reinforce this condition. Note too that moving average studies on the continuation chart are in a bear-mode setup, highlighting a clear downtrend. The move down exposes the 140.00 psychological handle next. For bulls, a reversal would open 142.73 and 144.48, the Dec 9 and Nov 11 high respectively.
