UK DATA: Construction PMI in line with consensus, but still a concern

Apr-04 08:36

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UK construction PMI picked up a little above last month's low and came in broadly in line with conse...

Historical bullets

BUND TECHS: (M5) Key Support Remains Exposed

Mar-05 08:32
  • RES 4: 132.80 High May 5 and a key resistance             
  • RES 3: 132.56 High Feb 28 and a key resistance    
  • RES 2: 131.95 High Mar 4 
  • RES 1: 130.40/130.88 Low Feb 19 / Low Mar 3                 
  • PRICE: 129.75 @ 05:53 GMT Mar 5 
  • SUP 1: 128.77 Intraday low    
  • SUP 2: 128.68 1.618 proj of the Feb 5 - 19 - 28 price swing            
  • SUP 3: 128.33 1.764 proj of the Feb 5 - 19 - 28 price swing 
  • SUP 4: 128.00 Round number support 

Bund futures have gapped sharply lower today and price action is likely to remain volatile. The contract has pierced a key support at 129.41, the Feb 14 low. A clear break of this level would confirm a resumption of the downtrend and pave the way for a move towards 128.68, a Fibonacci projection. Moving average studies on the continuation chart are in a bear-mode position, highlighting a dominant downtrend. Resistance is at 130.40, the Feb 19 low.  

US TSY OPTIONS: TY Upside Structure Trades

Mar-05 08:30

Latest block trade lodged at 07:56:12 London/02:56:12 NY:

  • 20K TYJ5 112.50 calls vs. 30K TYJ5 109.75 puts, structure trades at 0-11, looks like a seller of the puts & buyer of the calls.
  • Covered via selling 11.5K TYM5 at 110-31+.

EGB SYNDICATION: German 30-year syndication: Books open

Mar-05 08:29
  • Guidance: 2.50% Aug-54 Bund (DE000BU2D004) MID +4bp area
  • Size: EUR benchmark (MNI had expected E6bln similar to last year, but very uncertain given market conditions and could be as small as E3-4bln).
  • Maturity: 15 August 2056
  • Coupon: Long first
  • Settlement: 12 March 2025 (T+5)
  • ISIN: DE000BU2D012
  • Timing: Books open / today's business
  • Bookrunners: Barclays / BofA / Commerzbank / Deutsche Bank / Morgan Stanley (DM/B&D)/ NatWest      

From market source