EQUITY TECHS: E-MINI S&P: (H5) Continues To Trade Below Key Resistance

Feb-06 14:44
  • RES 4: 6178.75 High Dec 6 and key resistance    
  • RES 3: 6162.25 High Jan 24 
  • RES 2: 6147.75 High Jan 31 
  • RES 1: 6106.25 Intraday high                 
  • PRICE: 6101.00 @ 14:33 GMT Feb 6 
  • SUP 1: 6025.21/5935.50 50-day EMA / Low Feb 3           
  • SUP 2: 5892.37 76.4% retracement of the Aug 5 - Dec 6 bull leg
  • SUP 3: 5842.50 Low Jan 14 
  • SUP 4: 5809.00 Low Jan 13 and a key resistance 

Monday’s initial sell-off in the S&P E-Minis contract and a breach of support at 5948.00, the Jan 27 low, continues to highlight a possible short-term reversal threat. If correct, it suggests that the latest bounce is a correction. A resumption of weakness would open 5892.37, a Fibonacci retracement point. On the upside, a stronger rally would expose key resistance at 6178.75, the Dec 6 high. 

Historical bullets

EURIBOR OPTIONS: Upside call spread

Jan-07 14:43

Euribor upside, looking for deeper cut into the end of the Year.

  • ERZ5 99.00/100.00cs, bought for 2.75 in 6k.

EGB SYNDICATION: Slovenia 30-year: Allocations out

Jan-07 14:39
  • Size set earlier: E1bln (MNI expected E1.0-1.5bln)
  • Spread set earlier at MS+128bp (Guidance was MS+140bps area then MS+135bps area)
  • Books in excess of E2.1bln (inc E410mln JLM interest)
  • Maturity Date: 14 April 2055
  • HR: 93% vs 2.50% Aug-54 Bund
  • Settlement Date: 14 January 2025 (T+5)
  • Joint Bookrunners: Deutsche Bank, Erste Group, Goldman Sachs Bank Europe SE, HSBC, J.P. Morgan (B&D) and OTP Banka Slovenia
  • ISIN: SI0002104873
  • Timing: Pricing to follow

From market source

EGB SYNDICATION: Belgium 10-year: Allocations out

Jan-07 14:30
  • Size set earlier E7bln (in line with MNI expectations and same as 2023/24 10-year syndis)
  • Spread set earlier at MS+66bps (guidance was +68bps area)
  • Books closed in excess of E89bln (ex JLM interest)
  • Maturity: 22-June-2035
  • HR 103% vs 2.60% Aug-34 Bund
  • Settlement: 14-January-2025 (T+5)
  • Coupon: Annual ACT/ACT, short first to 22-June-2025
  • ISIN: BE0000363722
  • Bookrunners: BNPP (DM/B&D) / CACIB / HSBC / JPM / MS
  • Timing: Allocations out, hedge deadline 14:50GMT / 15:50CET. Pricing to follow

From market source