EQUITY TECHS: E-MINI S&P: (M5) Corrective Cycle

Apr-23 13:35
  • RES 4: 5773.25 High Apr 2    
  • RES 3: 5639.32 50-day EMA        
  • RES 2: 5528.75 High Apr 10 and the bull trigger 
  • RES 1: 5485.00 High Apr 15                             
  • PRICE: 5453.25 @ 14:23 BST Apr 23   
  • SUP 1: 5098.16 61.8% retracement of the Apr 7 - 10 bounce                      
  • SUP 2: 4996.43 76.4% retracement of the Apr 7 - 10 bounce
  • SUP 3: 4832.00 Low Apr 7 and the bear trigger
  • SUP 4: 4760.88 1.618 proj of the Feb 19 - Mar 13 - 25 price swing 

A reversal higher in S&P E-Minis on Apr 9 highlighted the start of a correction. The trend condition has been oversold following recent weakness and gains have allowed this to unwind. Price has traded above the 20-day EMA, at 5425.57, today. This exposes 5528.75, the Apr 10 high. For bears, a resumption of weakness would refocus attention on 4832.00, the Apr 7 low and bear trigger. 

Historical bullets

US: MNI POLITICAL RISK-Trump Hints At Narrower Reciprocal Tariffs

Mar-24 13:30

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  • The White House issued a memo promising sanctions against law firms engaging in "frivolous" litigation, injecting more uncertainty into US institutions as Democrats warn Trump's actions toward the judiciary risks a constitutional crisis.
  • White House officials have suggested that Trump’s ‘Liberation Day’ tariffs could be more targeted than previously signalled.
  • House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) and Senate Leader John Thune (R-SD) will meet on Tuesday for a crucial meeting on a compromise budget resolution underpinning Trump's agenda.
  • The Bipartisan Policy Center has projected the X Date is likely to come between mid-July and early October, as Republicans remain divided on strategy for raising the debt limit.
  • Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is accelerating a play for more control over banking regulators.
  • US and Russian officials will meet in Riyadh today for a round of technical talks towards a maritime ceasefire.
  • Senator Steve Daines (R-MT) told Chinese government officials that Beijing must curb the flow of Fentanyl into the United States before trade negotiations can take place.
  • Venezuela said it will begin receiving deportation flights again after the two countries struck a deal for Chevron to keep operating in Venezuela.
  • A delegation of Trump administration officials is expected to travel to Greenland this week, escalating a diplomatic standoff over the sovereignty of the strategic Arctic territory.
  • Chart of the Day: Tracking every Trump tariff and its economic effect

Full Article: US DAILY BRIEF

EURIBOR OPTIONS: Put spread buyer

Mar-24 13:25

ERM5 97.75/97.62ps 1x1.5, bought for 2.25 in 4k.

US TSY OPTIONS: May'25/Jun'25 10YCall Spread

Mar-24 13:21
  • 18,500 TYK5 112/TYM5 112.5 call spds, 10 net db/June over vs. 110-31.5/0.05%