US STOCKS: Early Equities Roundup: Paring Early Gains, Tech Stocks Pressed Again

Jan-29 16:43
  • Stocks are trading mixed by midmorning, DJIA near steady while tech stocks weigh on SPX Emini and Nasdaq Indexes. Currently, the DJIA trades down 0.05 points (0%) at 44850.23, S&P E-Minis down 23.25 points (-0.38%) at 6074, Nasdaq down 150.2 points (-0.8%) at 19583.94.
  • Information Technology sector shares were back under pressure, led by semiconductor makers after rebounding yesterday from the week opener's rout as China's AI startup DeepSeek continued to make headlines - not all positive:
  • Reuters report "Chinese AI startup DeepSeek's chatbot achieved only 17% accuracy in delivering news and information in a NewsGuard audit that ranked it tenth out of eleven in a comparison with its Western competitors including OpenAI's ChatGPT and Google Gemini."
  • Leading IT sector laggers included Nvidia -4.75%, Palo Alto Networks -3.41%, Crowdstrike -3.25%. Real Estate sector followed with office and hotel REITs underperforming: BXP Inc -3.07%, Host Hotels & Resorts -2.11%.
  • On the positive side, Consumer Staples and Financial sectors outperformed in the first half, Walgreens Boots +4.13%, Kroger +1.82%, Chubb +3.11% and Synchrony Financial +2.15%.
  • Reminder, more earnings expected after the close: IBM, Waste Management, Tesla, ServiceNow, Lam Research Corp, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Ameriprise Financial, Wolfspeed, Western Digital, United Rentals, Teradyne, Las Vegas Sands Corp, Raymond James Financial and Whirlpool Corp.

Historical bullets

FED: US TSY 13W BILL AUCTION: HIGH 4.230%(ALLOT 95.14%)

Dec-30 16:32
  • US TSY 13W BILL AUCTION: HIGH 4.230%(ALLOT 95.14%)
  • US TSY 13W BILL AUCTION: DEALERS TAKE 53.19% OF COMPETITIVES
  • US TSY 13W BILL AUCTION: DIRECTS TAKE 5.07% OF COMPETITIVES
  • US TSY 13W BILL AUCTION: INDIRECTS TAKE 41.74% OF COMPETITIVES
  • US TSY 13W BILL AUCTION: BID/CVR 2.38

FED: US TSY 26W BILL AUCTION: HIGH 4.135%(ALLOT 61.57%)

Dec-30 16:32
  • US TSY 26W BILL AUCTION: HIGH 4.135%(ALLOT 61.57%)
  • US TSY 26W BILL AUCTION: DEALERS TAKE 22.46% OF COMPETITIVES
  • US TSY 26W BILL AUCTION: DIRECTS TAKE 7.79% OF COMPETITIVES
  • US TSY 26W BILL AUCTION: INDIRECTS TAKE 69.75% OF COMPETITIVES
  • US TSY 26W BILL AUCTION: BID/CVR 3.03

US DATA: Stronger Dallas Fed Manufacturing Only Partly Offsets Wider Weakness

Dec-30 16:29

December's Dallas Fed Manufacturing Survey beat expectations with a headline reading of positive 3.4 vs -3.0 expected and -2.7 prior. That's the first positive reading in 32 months and the highest in 33, highlighted by a much stronger new orders reading (up 11 points to -0.9, pointing to unchanged demand from the prior month but still the best reading in 31 months).

  • Other readings were mostly stronger vs November, including production, capacity utilization, shipments, expectations, though the employment subindices were a little softer.
  • Notably though, there were much lower inflationary pressures evident in the survey, with raw materials prices falling 18 points to a 17-month low 10.5, with finished goods falling 12 points to -3.4, the first negative reading this year.
  • Dallas is the 5th regional Fed to publish its December manufacturing report, and overall they were very mixed: Empire fell to 0.2 from 31.2 and Philly to -16.4 from -5.5, with Kansas City to -4 from -2, more than offsetting the improvements in Richmond (-10 from -14) and Dallas.
  • That's not to mention the December MNI Chicago PMI which fell to 36.9 vs 40.2 prior, and the preliminary S&P Global PMI dipping to 48.3 from 49.7.
  • As such despite an apparent improvement in some regional survey optimism immediately following the November elections (and again, this was quite mixed - the range of survey scores was the broadest since April 2020), the overall theme of the manufacturing sector remaining steady at a weak level generally remains intact.
dallas