STIR: Effective Fed Funds Rate

Jan-18 14:10
  • FRBNY EFFR for prior session:

    • Daily Effective Fed Funds Rate: 4.33% volume: $94B
    • Daily Overnight Bank Funding Rate: 4.32% volume: $276B
  • Earlier Repo Reference Rates

    • Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR): 4.31%, $1.248T
    • Broad General Collateral Rate (BGCR): 4.28%, $449B
    • Tri-Party General Collateral Rate (TGCR): 4.28%, $429B

Historical bullets

US: Correction: CME Group Holiday Hours

Dec-19 14:00

Correction to 0633ET bullet lead re: Christmas holiday hours:

  • Trading floor closes at 1300ET while Globex close runs to 1600ET.
  • Monday, Dec 26 is a full close w/ Globex reopening 1700ET
  • Link to CME for reference

FRANCE T-BILL AUCTION RESULTS: 12/34/49-week BTFs

Dec-19 13:56
Type 12-week BTF 34-week BTF 49-week BTF
Maturity Mar 15, 2023 Aug 9, 2023 Nov 29, 2023
Amount E1.68bln E499mln E799mln
Target E1.4-1.8bln E0.1-0.5bln E0.4-0.8bln
Previous E3.19bln

E1.177bln
Avg yield 1.714% 2.352% 2.628%
Previous 1.693%

2.426%
Bid-to-cover 1.77x 2.03x 2.95x
Previous 1.25x

1.98x
Previous date Dec 12, 2022 Dec 12, 2022

BONDS: Core FI weakness continues

Dec-19 13:54
  • Weakness in core FI is continuing.
  • Gilts kicked off the weakness this morning - we think on reports that the government would support businesses with capped unit energy prices until March 2024 - a policy that could be very expensive weighing on the long-end but could also be inflationary and hence weighing on the short-end. There was also a follow-through from the BOE's announcement Friday it would include long-dated gilts in the APF sales in Q1-23 (rather than just shorts and mediums as has been the case in Q4-22).
  • Bunds had been grinding lower in sympathy while Treasuries started their decline about 90 minutes ago when the US started to get to their desks. The moves in USTs have now overtaken those seen in Bunds and helped contribute to continued weakness in gilts.
  • 10-year gilt yields are around 15bp higher on the day, 10-year UST yields 7.5bp higher and 10-year Bund yields around 6.5bp higher. The UK curve has moved largely in parallel while US and German curves have bear steepened.
  • At the time of writing TY1 futures are holding above Friday's intraday lows of 114-06 while Bund futures have moved to their lowest levels since 8 November and gilt futures to their lowest levels since 9 November.