Trump’s tariff threat towards Russia seems to promote some USD demand over the last 30 minutes or so, although the BBDXY was already off session lows ahead of Trump’s social media post.
- The greenback now outperforms all but the NOK in G10 FX trade, with the likes of GBP/USD & EUR/USD back into yesterday’s range after a brief show above.
- JPY is weaker against all G10 peers, with the uptick in core global FI yields also weighing on the yen in recent trade.
- The technical setup in that pair remains bullish, with initial resistance at the 20-day EMA (156.46) pierced. A clean break and extension there would shift focus to the January 15 high (158.08).
- BoJ event risk on the horizon for JPY pairs (expect our full preview of that decision in Asia-Pac hours. Most look for a 25bp hike on Friday, with ~24bp of tightening discounted).