Despite the bounce in Equity futures, the Cash open will be watched. * Calls: Estox 50: -0.88%, Dax...
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Gilt calls, 92.35/92.40 range.
Equity futures are unwinding a small part of the Post ASML earning spike, BIG focus on the Cash Open, since it can always drive multi assets, Govies and FX.
Tech will be watched, but luxury Goods could be heading the other way since LVHM missed expectations last night.
ECB-dated OIS are up to 1.5bps more dovish versus yesterday’s close, with 91bps of cuts priced through year-end. 25bp cuts at the January (tomorrow) and March decisions remain essentially fully priced, while there are 74bps of cuts priced through June.
Meeting Date | ESTR ECB-Dated OIS (%) | Difference Vs. Current Effective ESTR Rate (bp) |
Jan-25 | 2.675 | -24.6 |
Mar-25 | 2.453 | -46.8 |
Apr-25 | 2.326 | -59.5 |
Jun-25 | 2.179 | -74.2 |
Jul-25 | 2.131 | -79.0 |
Sep-25 | 2.058 | -86.3 |
Oct-25 | 2.039 | -88.2 |
Dec-25 | 2.008 | -91.3 |
Source: MNI/Bloomberg. |