ERZ5 98.25/98.50/98.75c fly vs 97.3125p, sold the fly at 0.25 in 10k.
FED FUNDS FUTURES: Post-Data Buying
Mar-03 15:23
Following this morning's Block buying of 12,000 April'25 FF futures at 95.685, several rounds of buying post ISM reported, appr DV01 of $2M:
+15,000 FFJ5 at 95.685
+10,000 FFJ5 at 95.690
+11,000 FFK5 at 95.745
+13,000 FFM5 at 95.820
US DATA: ISM Mfg Prices “Surprise” Likely Smaller Than Survey Implied
Mar-03 15:17
Another reason why the weaker growth metrics in the ISM mfg survey are overshadowing the sharp rise in prices paid is that regional Fed surveys had already pointed to a similar result for price pressures, but it hadn’t been reflected in the typically narrow selection of responses.
See the below chart, although note that it can give false flags such as short-lived spike in Apr 2024 so it would have been hard to have full conviction beforehand.
In addition, Friday's MNI Chicago PMI also saw its price paid series leap 16.9 points to 77.1, its largest monthly increase since July 1957 for its highest level since August 2022.