EMISSIONS: EUAs Volatility Rises On EU Gas Uncertainty

Mar-28 14:21

EUA Dec25 implied volatility has hit the highest since 10 Jan this week as futures contracts are tracking a nearly 4% weekly losses amid EU gas decline. 

  • EUA Dec25 implied volatility reached 32% this week compared to a low of 29.9% when EUAs hit a three-month low in early March.
  • The ICE EUA Dec25 25 delta call-put volatility skew widened to -2.83% this week, the highest level since 11 March.
  • TTF front month is tracking an nearly 5% losses this week, with geopolitical risks remain in focus after the news of a partial Russia-Ukraine ceasefire this week, although any adherence to it is uncertain.
  • EUA DEC 25 up 0.31% at 68.75 EUR/t CO2e
  • TTF Gas APR 25 down 1.5% at 40.6 EUR/MWh

Historical bullets

BONDS: TY Respects Highs, WN Block Limits Pullback

Feb-26 14:02

Bulls were unable to test overnight & Tuesday highs in TY futures, which seems to have limited the recovery in Tsys and rally in wider core global FI markets from extending further at this stage.

  • Meanwhile, the previously identified block buy in WN futures has prevented the pullback from extending.

EURIBOR OPTIONS: ERM5 97.875/98.00/98.0625/98.1875 Call Condor Given

Feb-26 13:59

ERM5 97.875/98.00/98.0625/98.1875 call condor 4K given at 4.

US TSY FUTURES: BLOCK: March'25 30Y Ultra-Bond Buy

Feb-26 13:59
  • +2,000 WNH5 123-27, post time offer at 0847:28ET, DV01 $391,000. The 30Y ultra contract trades 123-25 last