CEE FX: EUR Spike Tips CE3 Currencies Into Positive Territory

Jan-30 14:06

The recent uptick in EURUSD is working in favour of CE3 FX, with each of HUF, PLN and CZK now in the green versus both the single currency and the greenback.

  • The Hungarian forint remains the outperformer across the region following the stronger-than-expected GDP figures for Q4 released this morning, with EURHUF testing recent lows near 407.00 at typing.
  • Price action for PLN is relatively more muted, though EURPLN remains within close proximity to the key 4.20 handle. While this level has been pierced, a clear break would signal scope for a more sustained move lower towards 4.1822, the 2.764 projection of the Nov 6 - 7 - 12 ‘24 price swing.

Historical bullets

US TSYS: Post House Price Data React

Dec-31 14:04
  • Treasury futures holding mildly higher levels - little to no reaction to in-line FHFA housing price & slightly higher than expected S&P CoreLogic data.
  • Futures had already pared overnight gains since the top of the hour, the Mar'25 10Y contract currently trades 108-31.5 (+.5), curves off earlier lows: 2s10s +1.041 at 29.924, 5s30s -.316 at 38.559.

MNI:US OCT FHFA HPI SA +0.4% V +0.7% SEP; +4.5% Y/Y

Dec-31 14:00
  • MNI:US OCT FHFA HPI SA +0.4% V +0.7% SEP; +4.5% Y/Y

MNI: US REDBOOK: DEC STORE SALES +5.5% V YR AGO MO

Dec-31 13:55
  • MNI: US REDBOOK: DEC STORE SALES +5.5% V YR AGO MO
  • US REDBOOK: STORE SALES +7.1% WK ENDED DEC 28 V YR AGO WK