OUTLOOK: Price Signal Summary - Downtrend In Oil Futures Remains Intact
Mar-12 11:40
On the commodity front, Gold is in consolidation mode. The trend condition is unchanged, it remains bullish and the recent pullback appears corrective. A resumption of gains would refocus attention on $2962.2, a 2.00 projection of the Nov 14 - Dec 12 - 19 price swing. This would also open the $3000.0 handle. On the downside, a move lower would instead suggest scope for a deeper correction and expose support around the 50-day EMA, at $2829.8. The 50-day average represents a key support.
In the oil space, a bearish trend condition in WTI futures remains intact and the contract is trading at its recent lows. The latest sell-off has resulted in a clear breach of support at $70.20, the Feb 6 low. This confirmed a resumption of the downtrend that started Jan 15 and has paved the way for an extension towards $63.61 next, the Oct 10 ‘24 low. Key short-term pivot resistance is seen at $70.20, the 50-day EMA.
CAD: Paring losses
Mar-12 11:39
A broader bid in the CAD as it unwinds some of the Tariffs Risks weakness.
The Currency leads against the SEK and the Yen in G10 FX, CADJPY fell to its lowest level since May 2023 Yesterday, but is up 0.78% so far on the Day.
Tariff threats are at the forefront going forward, but Investors will be keeping an eye on the BoC meeting a little later, when the BoC will be set to cut its Rate by 25bps to 2.75%.
US TSY FUTURES: BLOCK: Jun'25 10Y Sale
Mar-12 11:38
-7,000 TYM5 110-25.5, sell through 110-26 post time bid at 0719:00ET, DV01 $443,000. The 10Y contract trades 110-24.5 last (-2.5).