No surprises with monthly 5-year auctions plus two auctions of the 3-year and one of the 4.00% Oct-31 gilt.
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The trend outlook in GBPUSD remains bullish and Tuesday’s strong gains reinforce this theme. Note that moving average studies have recently crossed into a bull-mode position, highlighting a potentially stronger bull cycle. The pair is holding on to its latest gains and sights are on a climb towards 1.2924, a Fibonacci retracement. Initial firm support to watch is 1.2554, the 50-day EMA.
Bobl futures are trading sharply lower this morning. The contract has gapped down and price action is likely to remain volatile near-term. A key short-term support at 117.850, the Feb 20 low, has been pierced. This undermines a recent bullish theme. A continuation lower would signal scope for an extension towards the 117.600 handle. On the upside, key short-term resistance has been defined at 119.040, the Feb 28 high.
| Date | UK | Period | Event |
| 05-Mar | 0930 | Feb | Services/Composite Final PMI |
| 05-Mar | 1430 | TSC: Bailey/Pill/Taylor/Greene | |
| 05-Mar | 1430 | Greene annual report | |
| 06-Mar | 0930 | Decision Maker Panel data | |
| 06-Mar | 0930 | Feb | Construction PMI |
| 07-Mar | 1500 | BOE's Mann lecture at RBNZ on 'holding anchor' | |
| 10-Mar | 0001 | KPMG/REC Jobs Report | |
| 11-Mar | 0001 | Feb | BRC-KPMG Shop Sales Monitor |
| 12-Mar | 0001 | RICS House Prices | |
| 12-Mar | 0730 | DMO propose calendar for first 3 weeks of FY25/26 | |
| 14-Mar | 0700 | Jan | Monthly Activity Data |
| 14-Mar | 0730 | DMO calendar for first 3 weeks of FY 25/26 confirmed | |
| 17-Mar | 0001 | Mar | Rightmove House Prices Index |
| 18-Mar | 0930 | Consumer Price inflation weight update | |
| 19-Mar | 0001 | Feb | Brightmine pay deals for whole economy |
| 20-Mar | 0700 | Jan/Feb | Labour Market Survey |
| 20-Mar | 1200 | Bank Of England Interest Rate |