RENEWABLES: German Morning Renewable Forecast
Feb-13 08:38
See the latest German renewables forecast for base-load hours from this morning for the next seven days. German spot prices are likely be elevated over 17-18 February (Mon-Tues) as wind is only expected at a 6% load factor over the period coupled with rising demand from the weekend.
German: Wind for 14-21 February
- 14 February: 4.17GW
- 15 February: 2.43GW
- 16 February: 10.55GW
- 17 February: 4.19GW
- 18 February: 3.86GW
- 19 February: 10.60GW
- 20 February: 13.74GW
- 21 February: 22.14GW
German: Solar for 14-21 February
- 14 February: 5.38GW
- 15 February: 11.35GW
- 16 February: 12.27GW
- 17 February: 16.33GW
- 18 February: 16.58GW
- 19 February: 15.72GW
- 20 February: 11.45GW
21 February: 15.26GW
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Historical bullets
EURIBOR OPTIONS: Call fly vs put spread
Jan-14 08:37
ERM5 97.625/97.75/97.875c fly vs 97.4375/97.3125ps, bought the fly for 0.25 and half in 9k.
EGB SYNDICATION: 10-year GGB: Books open
Jan-14 08:29
- Guidance: MS+107bps area
- Size: Benchmark (MNI expects E3-4bln)
- Maturity: 15 June 2035
- Settlement: 21 January, 2025 (T+5)
- ISIN: GR0124041758
Via Bloomberg / market source
GILTS: Benefitting From Wider Bid
Jan-14 08:27
Gilts track global peers higher, with media reports pointing to the potential for a more gradualist tariff approach from President-elect Trump and Franch political headlines providing support.
- Futures as high as 89.72 before fading back to 89.55.
- Bearish technicals intact, initial support & resistance located at 88.96/90.31.
- Yields 1-3bp lower, curve bull steepens.
- 10s spread to Bunds 2bp tighter, oscillating around 225bp.
- BoE-dated OIS still pricing 44bp of cuts through year-end, SONIA futures flat to +3.0.
- Today’s GBP1.0bln 30-year 1.25% Nov-54 I/L gilt auction will probably get more attention than usual, with the potential for it to be viewed as a litmus test for demand by wider markets given the recent weakness in UK assets.
- Chancellor Reeves’ will appear in the Commons later today, with MPs set to question the UK’s fiscal outlook after the recent increase in market-based fiscal risk premia.
- Don’t expect much of a change in tone, with her focus set to remain on the upholding of fiscal rules and a desire to generate economic growth.
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