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COMMODITIES: Gold Holding Onto Bulk of Recent Gains, Bull Cycle Intact

Feb-18 09:52

WTI futures have pulled back from last week’s high and price has again traded below the 50-day EMA - at $71.62. Attention is on $70.20 (pierced), the Feb 6 low. A clear break of it would undermine a bullish theme and confirm a breach of the 50-day EMA. This would strengthen a bearish threat and open $67.75, the Dec 20 ‘24 low. Key S/T resistance has been defined at $74.06, the Feb 3 high. A move above this level would reinstate a bull theme. A bull cycle in Gold remains in play and the yellow metal continues to hold on to the bulk of its recent gains. Fresh highs once again confirm a resumption of the uptrend and maintain the bullish price sequence of higher highs and higher lows. Moving average studies are in a bull mode position too, highlighting a dominant uptrend. Sights are on the $2962.2, a Fibonacci projection. The first key support to watch is $2833.2, the 20-day EMA.

  • WTI Crude up $1.13 or +1.6% at $71.89
  • Natural Gas down $0.15 or -3.89% at $3.581
  • Gold spot up $15.61 or +0.54% at $2912.21
  • Copper down $6.75 or -1.43% at $464.55
  • Silver up $0.16 or +0.49% at $32.4995
  • Platinum up $2.86 or +0.29% at $987.92

EQUITIES: Bullish Trend Structure in Eurostoxx 50 Futures Remains in Play

Feb-18 09:52

The trend condition in Eurostoxx 50 futures remains bullish. The move higher last week confirmed once again, a resumption of the uptrend that started on Nov 21 ‘24. Moving average studies are in a bull mode set-up too, highlighting a dominant uptrend. A major resistance at 5525.00, the March 2000 all-time high (cont), has been pierced. A clear break of it would highlight a key bullish technical breach. Support to watch is 5325.83, the 20-day EMA. S&P E-Minis continue to climb and the contract maintains a firmer tone. Attention is on resistance at 6162.25, the Jan 24 high. Clearance of this level would expose the key resistance at 6178.75, the Dec 6 ‘24 high. A move above this hurdle would resume the primary uptrend.On the downside, initial key support has been defined at 6014.00, the Feb 10 low. A break would highlight a bearish development.

  • Japan's NIKKEI closed higher by 96.15 pts or +0.25% at 39270.4 and the TOPIX ended 8.61 pts higher or +0.31% at 2775.51.
  • Elsewhere, in China the SHANGHAI closed lower by 31.34 pts or -0.93% at 3324.49 and the HANG SENG ended 360.58 pts higher or +1.59% at 22976.81.
  • Across Europe, Germany's DAX trades lower by 72.66 pts or -0.32% at 22726.07, FTSE 100 lower by 8.26 pts or -0.09% at 8759.9, CAC 40 down 24.22 pts or -0.3% at 8164.53 and Euro Stoxx 50 down 11.34 pts or -0.21% at 5508.37.
  • Dow Jones mini up 21 pts or +0.05% at 44656, S&P 500 mini up 16.75 pts or +0.27% at 6148.75, NASDAQ mini up 83 pts or +0.37% at 22279.5.

EQUITIES: Estoxx Put Spread seller

Feb-18 09:44

SX5E (18/12/26) 5500/5000ps, sold at 175.2 in 10k.