A bull cycle in Gilt futures remains in play and the latest pullback appears corrective. Thursday’ gains are a positive development. The contract has recently traded through 93.09, the Dec 20 high, and breached 93.64, the 61.8% retracement of the Dec 3 - Jan 13 bear leg. Sights are on the 94.75, the 76.4% retracement. Initial support at 92.31, the Feb 12 low. The next firm support to watch lies at 91.52, the Jan 24 low.
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Recent gains in Gold appear corrective - for now. However, the yellow metal continues to hold on to the bulk of last week’s gains and scope is seen for a continuation higher near-term. A stronger recovery would open $2726.2, the Dec 12 high and an important resistance. Clearance of this level would be a bullish development. On the downside, a reversal lower would expose $2583.6, the Dec 19 low. Initial support is at $2644.3, the 50-day EMA.
Looking through the details here we have services notably softer than expected at 4.37%Y/Y. Core goods and food/alcohol a little higher than expected (so less of a surprise in core / headline).