GBPUSD TECHS: Has Breached Resistance

Feb-06 06:27

* RES 4: 1.2667 High Dec 19 * RES 3: 1.2610 38.2% retracement of the Sep 26 '24 - Jan 13 swing * RES...

Historical bullets

LOOK AHEAD: UK Timeline of Key Events (GMT Times)

Jan-07 06:23
DateUKPeriodEvent
07-Jan0930DecS&P Global/CIPS Construction PMI
08-Jan1005 BOE's Woods Financial Services Regulation hearing
09-Jan0001 KPMG/REC Jobs Report
09-Jan0001DecBRC Monthly Shop Price Index
09-Jan0930DecDecision Maker Panel data
09-Jan1600 BOE's Breeden Speech at University of Edinburgh
14-Jan0830 BOE's Breeden speech on Financial Stability
15-Jan0700DecConsumer inflation report
15-Jan0700DecProducer Prices
15-Jan1630 BOE's Taylor Speech on Inflation Dynamics and Outlook
16-Jan0700NovGDP / Trade/ Services/ Production / Construction
17-Jan0700DecRetail Sales
21-Jan0700Nov/DecLabour Market Survey
22-Jan0001JanBrightmine pay deals for whole economy
22-Jan0700DecPublic Sector Finances

LOOK AHEAD: Eurozone Timeline of Key Events (GMT Times)

Jan-07 06:18
DateTimeCountryEvent
07-Jan745FRHICP (p)
07-Jan830EUS&P Global Final Eurozone Construction PMI
07-Jan900EUECB Consumer Expectations Survey
07-Jan900DEBavaria CPI
07-Jan1000EUHICP (p) / Unemployment
07-Jan1000ITHICP (p)
08-Jan700DEManufacturing Orders/ Retail Sales
08-Jan745FRConsumer Sentiment / Foreign Trade
08-Jan1000EUEZ Economic Sentiment Indicator
08-Jan1000EUConsumer Confidence, Industrial Sentiment
08-Jan1000EUPPI
09-Jan700DETrade Balance / Industrial production
09-Jan900DENorth Rhine Westphalia CPI
09-Jan1000EURetail Sales
10-Jan745FRIndustrial Production / Consumer Spending
10-Jan800ESIndustrial Production
10-Jan900ITRetail Sales

GBPUSD TECHS: Monitoring Resistance

Jan-07 06:16
  • RES 4: 1.2811 High Dec 6 and key resistance 
  • RES 3: 1.2729 High Dec 17     
  • RES 2: 1.2680 50-day EMA 
  • RES 1: 1.2558 20-day EMA 
  • PRICE: 1.2544 @ 06:16 GMT Jan 7
  • SUP 1: 1.2353 Low Jan 2
  • SUP 2: 1.2300 Low Apr 22 2024
  • SUP 3: 1.2266 Low Nov 14 2023
  • SUP 4: 1.2261 2.0% 10-dma envelope   

The sharp sell-off in GBPUSD last Thursday confirmed a resumption of the medium-term downtrend. The move down maintains the bearish price sequence of lower lows and lower highs and note that moving average studies are in a bear-mode position, highlighting a clear downtrend. Monday’s strong gains are - for now - considered corrective. Initial firm resistance is at 1.2558, the 20-day EMA. The bear trigger is 1.2353, the Jan 2 low.