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Jan-23 07:56

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*IPT: ICCREA BANCA 500M WNG 5Y GREEN SR PREF MS+130 AREA" -bbg...

Historical bullets

USD: The Dollar is King going into Year End

Dec-24 07:40
  • The Dollar remains king, and the old saying of "Buy Dollar, Wear Diamonds" is suited as we head towards Year end.
  • Only the Malaysian Ringgit, and the Hong Kong Dollar are up YTD, and even the Exotics are down.
  • Within G10s, it is a painful Year for the Kiwi, as we stand going into the European session, down 10.59%, NOK 10.5% and the Yen is still down 10.21% YTD.
  • Incredibly, although Cable is below 1.2600, it is only down 1.54% for the Year.
  • For Technical in G10s, most Pairs/Crosses are some way short of their next respective Supports/Resistances, {r1} EURUSD would see next support at 1.0343 Low Dec 20.

EQUITY TECHS: E-MINI S&P: (H5) Resistance At The 20-Day EMA Is Intact For Now

Dec-24 07:29
  • RES 4: 6178.75 High Dec 6 and key resistance  
  • RES 3: 6163.75 High Dec 16    
  • RES 2: 6064.86 20-day EMA   
  • RES 1: 6050.75 High Dec 20       
  • PRICE: 6036.75 @ 06:56 GMT Dec 24
  • SUP 1: 5866.00 Low Dec 20       
  • SUP 2: 5811.65 38.2% retracement of the Aug 5 - Dec 6 bull leg  
  • SUP 3: 5784.00 Low Nov 4 
  • SUP 4: 5698.25 50.0% retracement of the Aug 5 - Dec 6 bull leg

A sell-off in the S&P E-Minis contract on Dec 18 highlights a S/T top and a corrective cycle. The move down resulted in a breach of the 20- and 50-day EMAs. A resumption of weakness would open 5811.65, 38.2% of the Aug 5 - Dec 6 bull leg. Support at 5921.00, Nov 19 low, has been pierced. A clear break of it would strengthen a bearish threat. Initial resistance is 6064.86, the 20-day EMA. A clear break of the EMA would be a bullish development.

SILVER TECHS: Bearish Cycle

Dec-24 07:25
  • RES 4: $35.226 - 61.8% of the 2011 - 2020 major bear leg  
  • RES 3: $35.167 - 2.00 proj of the Aug 8 - 26 - Sep 6 price swing 
  • RES 2: $33.125/34.903 - High Nov 1 / High Oct 23 and the bull trigger
  • RES 1: $30.891/32.338 - 50-day EMA / High Dec 12                             
  • PRICE: $29.703 @ 07:03 GMT Dec 24  
  • SUP 1: $28.748 - Low Dec 19        
  • SUP 2: $28.446 - 76.4% retracement of the Aug 8 - Oct 23 bull cycle 
  • SUP 3: $27.686 - Low Sep 6 
  • SUP 4: $26.451 - Low Aug 8  

A bear cycle in Silver that started Oct 23 remains in play and last week’s move lower reinforces the trend condition. The metal has breached support at $29.642, the Nov 28 low. The break lower opens $28.446, a Fibonacci retracement. Note that moving average studies are in a bear-mode position highlighting a dominant downtrend. Key resistance has been defined at $32.338, the Dec 12 high. A break of this level would signal a reversal.