HUNGARY: Industrial Production, Retail Sales Well Below Expectations in December
Feb-06 07:55
* Hungary's workday-adjusted industrial output fell 6.4% y/y in December (Est: -3.7%) versus a rev...
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EGB OPTIONS: Schatz Call Spread
Jan-07 07:52
DUH5 107.20/107.50cs 1x2, bought for -0.25 (receive) in 5k.
MNI: FRANCE DEC HICP +0.2% M/M, +1.8% Y/Y
Jan-07 07:45
- MNI: FRANCE DEC HICP +0.2% M/M, +1.8% Y/Y
- MNI: FRANCE DEC CPI +0.2% M/M, +1.3% Y/Y
STIR: A Little Over 55bp OF BoE Cuts Priced Through '25
Jan-07 07:41
GBP STIRs consolidate/marginally extend on yesterday’s hawkish move.
- BoE-dated OIS & SONIA futures little changed to a touch more hawkish vs. settlement, with 17bp of cuts priced for February, 20.5bp of cuts priced through March and 56bp showing through year-end.
- We still look for cuts in February and May, which leaves the market-implied cutting cycle looking a little flat in our view.
- Spill over from European inflation data eyed this morning.
- Further out, Thursday’s schedule will receive much of this week’s domestic focus, with the BoE DMP survey, S&P-KPMG-REC report on jobs and comments from BoE MPC member Breeden due that day.
BoE Meeting | SONIA BoE-Dated OIS (%) | Difference vs. Current Effective SONIA Rate (bp) |
Feb-25 | 4.530 | -17.0 |
Mar-25 | 4.493 | -20.7 |
May-25 | 4.380 | -32.0 |
Jun-25 | 4.344 | -35.6 |
Aug-25 | 4.252 | -44.8 |
Sep-25 | 4.225 | -47.5 |
Nov-25 | 4.168 | -53.2 |
Dec-25 | 4.141 | -55.9 |
