PHILIPPINES: January CPI Sees Prices on the Move Again.
Feb-05 01:23
- The Philippines January CPI YoY printed at +2.9%, in line with December and marginally higher than expected.
- The Philippines January CPI MoM printed at +0.5%, marginally down from December’s print of 0.6%, and above expectations of 0.3%.
- January core prices were up 2.6% with prices in the capital the main driver.
- The Central Bank the BSP has inflation targets of 2-4% and whilst today’s print is within those targets, the signs are there that inflation is on the increase again with the fifth consecutive month of rises, since September’s low.
- The BSP was the first of the regional Central Banks to cut rates in 2024 and meets again on February 13.
Phiippines CPI y/y%
Source: MNI - Market News/Refinitiv
Philippines core CPI continues to run ahead of non-Japan Asia ex China, y/y%
Source: MNI - Market News/Refinitiv
Want to read more?
Find more articles and bullets on these widgets:
Historical bullets
CNH: USD/CNY Fixing Holds Sub 7.1900, USD/CNH Dips
Jan-06 01:21
The USD/CNY fixing printed at 7.1876, versus a Bloomberg consensus of 7.3057.
- The fixing was basically unchanged versus Friday's 7.1878 outcome. The fixing error narrowed to -1181pips, largely due to the lower fixing consensus from the market.
- The upside ceiling on USD/CNY spot today is 7.33135.
- Earlier comments from onshore media (backed by the PBoC) highlighted the central bank's ability to keep the yuan basically stable and that it has tools to deal with depreciation.
- USD/CNH is back sub 7.3500 post the fixing outcome. Earlier highs in the pair rest at 7.3647.
FOREX: USD/JPY Higher With US Yields, CNY Fixing & Caixin Services PMI Due Soon
Jan-06 00:53
Early yen weakness is a feature of G10 markets. Yen is off around 0.30% against the USD in the first part of trade. Trends are mixed elsewhere with EUR weaker and back sub 1.0300, while AUD and NZD are up a touch. the BBDXY index is slightly higher, up above 1313. Recent highs in the index rest above 1316.
- USD/JPY is near session highs, last close to 157.70/75. Recent highs in the pair rest at 158.08 (Dec 26), which is likely to be an upside focus point.
- US yields have opened higher, up 1.5-3bps across the curve, led by the back end. Positive US data surprises from late last week and Fed caution around inflation are likely supporting yields. This will be pressuring yen to a degree and is offsetting the rise in JGB yields (with cash bonds open for the first time since early last week).
- AUD and NZD are up a little over 0.15% at this stage, leaving markets with a slight risk on feel. AUD/USD was last 0.6225/30, NZD/USD is above 0.5620.
- On the data front, the Dec services PMI for Japan was revised lower to 50.9 from 51.4. In Australia the services PMI was revised up to 50.8 from 50.4.
- Later we get the Caixin services PMI in China.
- Also note there will be some focus on the CNY fixing, given spot's break above 7.3000 in Friday trade. USD/CNH is relatively steady so far today, holding sub 7.36000 in latest dealings.
US TSYS: Cash Bonds Open Cheaper, Day Of Mourning On Thursday
Jan-06 00:31
TYH5 is 108-12+, -0-07 from NY closing levels.
- Cash bonds are 2-3bps cheaper, with a slight steepening bias, in today’s Asia-Pac session after Friday’s heavy close.
- Tsy futures finished last week near session lows following the December manufacturing ISM survey, which beat expectations. The headline reading of 49.3 improved from 48.4 prior and a 9-month high, besting the survey expectation of 48.4.
- This week, US economic data and Treasury supply are being brought forward to accommodate Thursday's "day of mourning" to honour President Carter. The Federal holiday sees most markets closed; the exception so far is CME rates, which will operate on a shortened session.
- Thursday's weekly jobless and continuing claims will be released on Wednesday according to the Dept of Labor site.
