CONSUMER STAPLES: Japan Tobacco: FINAL

Apr-10 11:56

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(JAPTOB; A2 Stable/A+ Neg) (1/3 gov. owned, no uplift)...

Historical bullets

OUTLOOK: Price Signal Summary - Trend Needle In WTI Points South

Mar-11 11:41
  • On the commodity front, Gold is in consolidation mode. The trend condition remains bullish and the recent pullback appears to have been a correction. A stronger rally would refocus attention on $2962.2, a 2.00 projection of the Nov 14 - Dec 12 - 19 price swing. This would also open the $3000.0 handle. On the downside, a resumption of weakness would instead suggest scope for a deeper correction and expose support around the 50-day EMA, at $2826.3. The 50-day average marks a key support.
  • In the oil space, a bearish trend condition in WTI futures remains intact and last week’s fresh short-term cycle lows reinforce current conditions. Recent weakness has resulted in a clear breach of support at $70.20, the Feb 6 low. This confirmed a resumption of the downtrend that started Jan 15 and has paved the way for an extension towards $63.61 next, the Oct 10 ‘24 low. Key short-term pivot resistance is seen at $70.36, the 50-day EMA.

BUNDS: USDJPY extends gains

Mar-11 11:38
  • USDJPY is helped to session high, taking its cue from the US Tnotes (TYM5) testing session low here.
  • Initial support in the contract is seen at 110.21, Yesterday's gap.
  • For the USDJPY, Friday's high is situated at 148.20.

GILT SYNDICATION: 1.875% Sep-49 I/L gilt: Allocations out

Mar-11 11:36
  • Spread set at 0.125% Aug-48 linker (GB00BZ13DV40) + 1.0bp (Guidance was +1.0/1.5bps)
  • Size: GBP5.0bln (larger than the GBP4.0-4.5bln MNI expected) - MNI note: This is the largest ever gilt linker syndication
  • Books in excess of GBP67.5bln (inc JLM interest of GBP4bln) - MNI note: That is the largest ever book for a gilt linker syndication
  • HR : 90% vs 0.125% Aug-48 linker
  • Maturity: 22 September 2049
  • ISIN: GB00BT7J0134
  • Coupon: 1.875%, long first
  • Settlement: 12 March 2025 (T+1)
  • JLMs: BofA Securities, J.P. Morgan, Lloyds Bank Corporate Markets (B&D/DM), and UBS Investment Bank
  • Timing: Hedge deadline 11:50GMT, pricing later today

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