Fed Governor Jefferson (permanent voter) says there is no need to hurry to make rate adjustments, repeating a stance from Feb 19 when he last spoke on mon pol. He doesn’t go into detail on potential tariff implications after yesterday’s Liberation Day announcements besides saying there are multiple significant changes currently in progress. Gov. Cook is still to come at 1430ET but expect the clearer Fed steer to come from Chair Powell tomorrow at 1125ET in post-payrolls comments.
- Jefferson, from the full speech: "In my view, there is no need to be in a hurry to make further policy rate adjustments. The current policy stance is well positioned to deal with the risks and uncertainties that we face in pursuing both sides of our dual mandate."
- This top line stance is very similar to his last remarks on Feb 19: “I believe that, with a strong economy and a solid labor market, we can take our time to assess the incoming data to make any further adjustments to our policy rate.”
- Some highlights from today's speech: "If the economy remains strong and inflation does not continue to move sustainably toward 2%, the current policy restraint could be retained for longer. If the labor market were to weaken unexpectedly or inflation were to fall more quickly than anticipated, policy could be eased accordingly,"
- “Significant changes in trade, immigration, fiscal, and regulatory policies currently are in process. It will be crucial to evaluate the cumulative effect of these policy changes as we assess the economy and consider the path of monetary policy. Of course, at the Fed, we look at the whole of the economy and many factors that shape it.”
- “If uncertainty persists or worsens, economic activity may be constrained. An important lesson learned in recent years, however, is that American consumers have been resilient, and negative sentiment reported in surveys often does not translate into a slowdown in actual activity.”