STIR: Just Over 70bp Of BoE Cuts Still Priced Through '25

Jan-29 15:39

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Modest dovish repricing in the UK short end holds, with gilts consolidating their morning rally and ...

Historical bullets

GILT AUCTION PREVIEW: On offer next week

Dec-30 15:36

The DMO has additionally announced it will be looking to sell GBP2.25bln of the 4.375% Jul-54 Gilt (ISIN: GB00BPSNBB36) at its auction next Tuesday, January 7.
 

US: Trump Says Speaker Johnson Has His 'Total Endorsement'

Dec-30 15:34

US President-elect Donald Trump has issued a lengthy statement on his Truth Social site endorsing House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) ahead of the January 3 speaker vote on the floor of the House of Representatives. 

  • Trump: "Speaker Mike Johnson is a good, hard working, religious man. He will do the right thing, and we will continue to WIN. Mike has my Complete & Total Endorsement. MAGA!!!"
  • The statement comes after a damaging two-week period - starting in late December - when Trump and advisor Elon Musk torpedoed a Johnson-backed plan to fund the federal government. This week, a public spat over H-1B work visas has deepened fissures between the 'Silicon Valley' faction of the GOP, led by Musk, and the conservative 'America First' bloc of Trump's MAGA movement, raising concerns that a collapse of the GOP coalition could derail Trump's agenda.
  • Trump's statement appears designed to patch up the rift ahead of the speaker vote, which will kickstart a challenging 100-day period when Trump needs near-unanimous support from House Republicans to pass a reconciliation package that will include immigration and energy legislation and likely a measure to suspend the federal debt ceiling.  
  • Rep Thomas Massie (R-KY) has stated he will vote 'no' on Johnson with Rep Victoria Spartz (R-IN) leaning towards 'no'. Assuming all Democrats are present and vote 'no', four dissenting Republican votes will sink Johnson's bid and force another speaker ballot.
  • Chad Pergram at Fox News has a useful explainer on the implications of the speaker vote here

GILT AUCTION PREVIEW: On offer next week

Dec-30 15:32

The DMO has announced it will be looking to sell GBP4.25bln of the new 4.375% Mar-30 Gilt (ISIN: GB00BSQNRD01) at its auction next Wednesday, January 8.