COPPER TECHS: (K5) Pullback Considered Corrective

Feb-26 14:33
  • RES 4: $514.40 - 2.00 proj of the Jan 2 - 17 - Feb 3 price swing
  • RES 3: $503.59 - 1.764 proj of the Jan 2 - 17 - Feb 3 price swing 
  • RES 2: $500.00 - Round number resistance         
  • RES 1: $488.50 - High Feb 14 
  • PRICE: $461.70 @ 14:22 GMT Feb 26
  • SUP 1: $451.60 - Low Feb 25        
  • SUP 2: $444.14 - 50-day EMA
  • SUP 3: $422.80 - Low Feb 3 and key support      
  • SUP 4: $403.85 - Low Jan 2 and a bear trigger     

Copper futures remain in a bull cycle, despite the latest pullback, that appears corrective. Recent gains highlight an acceleration of the uptrend and this reinforces current conditions. The contract has cleared 455.20, the Nov 5 high and a key hurdle. Price has also pierced 477.10, the Sep 30 ‘24 high. Sights are on $500.00 next. The latest pullback is allowing an overbought condition to unwind. Support to watch is $444.14, the 50-day EMA.

Historical bullets

EQUITIES: All the attention turns to the US Cash Open

Jan-27 14:25

All the attention will likely be on the Equity Cash open now, Friday's low in the NDX was at 21,709.06.

The European Tech Index (SX8P) is still down 4.47%, and NVIDIA is down 12% pre Market.

  • Calls: SPX: 5,973.5 (-2.1%); DJIA: 44,087 (-0.8%/-338pts); NDX: 21,021.1 (-3.5%).

EURIBOR OPTIONS: Large call spread seller

Jan-27 14:22

ERM5 97.75/97.93cs, sold at 6.25 in 15k (ref 97.745).

EGBS: SocGen Like Buying Belly Of Several 2-/3-/5-Year Flies

Jan-27 14:14

Societe Generale continue to like 5-/10-Year curve steepeners but look for carry and rolldown friendly positive iterations.

  • They note that “as receiving 2-/3-/5-Year flies can serve as a proxy for 5-/10-Year steepeners in the EGB space (dependent on the issuing country), this view is consistent with buying the 3-Year area of RAGBs, RFGBs, OLOs, DSLs, SPGBs and PGBs on the 2-/3-/5-Year flies.”