OIL: Kazakhstan Tengiz Output Surging, Despite Reaffirming OPEC+ Commitments

Feb-05 10:47

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Production at Kazakhstan's Tengiz surging, amidst Kazakhstan's reaffirmation of commitment to OPEC+ ...

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SCHATZ TECHS: (H5) Fresh Cycle Low

Jan-06 10:43
  • RES 4: 107.365 High Dec 12
  • RES 3: 107.170 High Dec 20  
  • RES 2: 107.065 20-day EMA 
  • RES 1: 106.965 High Jan 3     
  • PRICE: 106.715 @ 10:27 GMT Jan 6   
  • SUP 1: 106.695 Intraday low             
  • SUP 2: 106.680 Low Nov 20 (cont)  
  • SUP 3: 106.645 Low Nov 18 (cont)
  • SUP 4: 106.625 2.00 proj of the Dec 2 - 6 - 12 price swing

The current bear cycle in Schatz futures remains intact and recent weakness, including today’s fresh cycle low, reinforces this theme. The Jan 3 sell-off confirmed a resumption of the bear leg and sights are on 106.695, the Nov 20 ‘24 low (cont). Initial firm resistance is seen at 107.065, the 20-day EMA. A clear break of it would highlight a potential reversal. For now, short-term gains would be considered corrective. 

GERMAN T-BILL AUCTION RESULTS: 6-Month Bubill

Jan-06 10:40
Type6-month bubill
MaturityJul 16, 2025
AllottedE1.152bln
PreviousE1.55bln
Total soldE2bln
TargetE2bln
Avg yield2.475%
Previous2.667%
Bid-to-cover2.17x
Previous1.72x
Bid-to-offer1.25x
Previous1.34x
Previous dateNov 18, 2024

DUTCH T-BILL AUCTION RESULTS: 3/6-Month DTCs

Jan-06 10:39
Type3-month DTC6-month DTC
MaturityMar 28, 2025Jun 27, 2025
AmountE1.61blnE1.14bln
TargetE1.0-2.0blnE1.0-2.0bln
PreviousE1.05blnE1bln
Avg yield2.733%2.55%
Previous2.730%2.571%
Bid-to-cover1.47x1.27x
Previous2.67x2.12x
Previous dateDec 09, 2024Dec 09, 2024

Source: Bloomberg