FOREX: Key EURUSD Resistance Building ~1.0530

Feb-26 10:16

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* EURUSD highs over the past two sessions at 1.0525 and 1.0528 have fallen just shy of a key resis...

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US-RUSSIA: Kremlin Waiting For White House To OK Putin-Trump Call

Jan-27 10:14

Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov told reporters that Moscow is yet to receive signals from the White House about a meeting or call between Russian President Vladimir Putin and US President Donald Trump, noting a "certain amount of time" was needed before a meeting could take place, per Reuters. 

  • Comes after Peskov said on Friday: “Putin’s ready, we’re waiting for signals. Everyone is ready.”
  • Putin said in an interview on Friday: "We have always said, and I want to emphasise this again, we are ready for these talks on the Ukrainian issue."
  • In the interview, Putin appeared to offer Trump a sweetener, supporting Trump’s claims that the US presidential election was “stolen” and the Ukraine war could have been avoided if Trump were president: “...if they hadn't stolen victory from him in 2020, the crisis that emerged in Ukraine in 2022 could have been avoided."
  • The comments are consistent with regular Kremlin comments signposting openness to talks, but the more conciliatory language appears to signal a more genuine pivot to reopening lines of communication than during the Biden administration.
  • Putin's comments came after Trump issued his first threat to Russia since taking office: “If we don’t make a “deal,” and soon, I have no other choice but to put high levels of Taxes, Tariffs, and Sanctions on [Russia]...”
  • Politico notes: “Putin and his inner circle aren’t taking Trump’s recent sanction threats seriously, instead seeing it as posturing ahead of actual direct talks about the war in Ukraine.”

US TSY OPTIONS: Larger Risk Reversal

Jan-27 10:12

TYH5 108.50/110.50 RR , bought the call for 17 in 30k (ref 109.03).

EQUITIES: EU Bank Index recovers from the low

Jan-27 10:12
  • Despite the Risk Off tone, led by Tech, the Bank Index (SX7E) is doing better, trading circa flat on the day, now edging to session to close the opening gap.
  • This chart remains one of the most interesting one at the start of 2025, with the next big level seen up to 163.34, the 2014 high.
  • No surprises in seeing the Tech sector as the worst performer, (SX8P) has seen its biggest single move since 15th October, and looking to test the 800.00 level