USDCAD TECHS: Key Support Intact For Now

Feb-06 08:04
  • RES 4: 1.5000 Psychological round number 
  • RES 3: 1.4948 High Mar 2003  
  • RES 2: 1.4814 High Apr 2003
  • RES 1: 1.4600/1.4793 Round number resistance / High Feb 3    
  • PRICE: 1.4356 @ 08:03 GMT Feb 6  
  • SUP 1: 1.4270 Low Feb 5
  • SUP 2: 1.4261 Low Jan 20 and a key support
  • SUP 3: 1.4178 High Nov 6 ‘24
  • SUP 4: 1.4120 Low Dec 11

The reversal in USDCAD from Monday’s high extended again Wednesday. For now, the move down appears corrective and the primary uptrend remains intact. Monday’s cycle high, reinforces and strengthens bullish conditions. The break higher confirmed a resumption of the uptrend and opens 1.4814 next, the Apr 2003 high. Key support to watch lies at 1.4261, the Jan 20 low. A clear breach of this level would alter the picture and signal a reversal.

Historical bullets

AUDUSD TECHS: Testing Resistance At The 20-Day EMA

Jan-07 08:00
  • RES 4: 0.6471 High Dec 9
  • RES 3: 0.6400 50-day EMA               
  • RES 2: 0.6341 High Dec 18   
  • RES 1: 0.6273/0.6302 20-day EMA / High Jan 6
  • PRICE: 0.6275 @ 07:59 GMT Jan 7 
  • SUP 1: 0.6179 Low Dec 31 
  • SUP 3: 0.6158 1.236 proj of the Sep 30 - Nov 6 - 7 price swing
  • SUP 3: 0.6100 Round number support 
  • SUP 4: 0.6045 1.500 proj of the Sep 30 - Nov 6 - 7 price swing

Despite Monday’s gains, a bearish trend condition in AUDUSD remains intact. Recent weakness maintains the price sequence of lower lows and lower highs. Note that moving average studies are in a bear-mode position too, highlighting a dominant downtrend. Scope is seen for an extension towards 0.6158 next, a Fibonacci projection. Initial firm resistance to monitor is 0.6276, the 20-day EMA. It has been pierced but for now, remains intact.

GILTS: Opening calls

Jan-07 07:58

Gilt calls, 92.00/92.04

EQUITIES: EU Cash opening calls

Jan-07 07:57

Estox 50: +0.04%, Dax: -0.08%, CAC: -0.21%, FTSE -0.29%, SMI +0.20%.