US STOCKS: Late Equities Roundup: Near Session Highs, IT & Pharmaceuticals Ahead

Feb-05 19:48

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* Stocks continue to extend gains/pare losses, the Nasdaq mildly underperforming in late Wednesday...

Historical bullets

AUSSIE 3-YEAR TECHS: (H5) Support Remains Intact For Now

Jan-06 19:41
  • RES 3: 96.380 - High Mar 21 2023
  • RES 2: 97.190 - High May 5 2023 
  • RES 1: 96.730/932 - High Sep 17 / 76.4% of Mar-Nov ‘23 bear leg 
  • PRICE: 96.080@ 19:29 GMT Jan 06
  • SUP 1: 96.000 - Low 19 Dec ‘24
  • SUP 2: 95.760 - Low 14 Nov ‘24
  • SUP 3: 95.480 - Low Jan 11 2023 and a major support 

Aussie 3-yr futures are trading below their most recent highs. The dominant trend for now remains bullish and a move higher would highlight a resumption of this condition, and signal scope for an extension towards 96.36, the Dec 11 high. Further out, the key resistance is at 96.730, the Sep 17 high. For bears, a stronger reversal lower would refocus attention on 95.760, the 14 Nov ‘24 low.

US: Trump Set To Return To Office w/Highest Approval Rating Of Political Career

Jan-06 19:37

US President-elect Donald Trump is set to return to the White House on January 20 with the highest approval rating of his political career. His favorability rating turned positive in late December for the first time since RealClearPolitics started polling his approval in 2015.

  • Trump's rising approval will buoy Republican optimism that a second Trump administration is better placed to legislate a complex Republican agenda, which includes an overhaul of immigration and policy, the extension of Trump's 2017 tax cuts, and a sweeping tariff agenda.
  • MNI Political Risk Team outlined Trump's tentative plans to pursue a single ‘mega-bill’ to cover the bulk of his legislative agenda in today's edition of the MNI US Daily Brief.

Figure 1: Trump Favourability Rating, 2015-Present 

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Source: RealClearPolitics

USDJPY TECHS: Trend Needle Points North

Jan-06 19:32
  • RES 4: 160.00 Round number resistance   
  • RES 3: 159.45 High Jul 12
  • RES 2: 159.26 0.618 proj of the Sep 16 - Nov 15 - Dec 3 price swing  
  • RES 1: 158.08 High Dec 26 
  • PRICE: 157.53 @ 19:31 GMT Jan 6
  • SUP 1: 155.89 20-day EMA
  • SUP 2: 154.44 Low Dec 19  
  • SUP 3: 153.85 50-day EMA
  • SUP 4: 152.46 Low Dec 13  

USDJPY continues to trade below its recent high but is holding on to the bulk of its latest gains. The trend outlook remains bullish. The recent breach of 156.75, the Nov 15 high, confirmed a resumption of the uptrend and has paved the way for a move towards 159.45, the Jul 12 high. Moving average studies are in a bull-mode position highlighting a dominant uptrend. Initial firm support is 155.89, the 20-day EMA.